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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 18, 2025

On the Week 7 gambling show, Nick Wright made his against-the-spread picks and, along the way, named several teams he expects to win outright: the Rams in London, the Colts at the Chargers, Washington at Dallas, the Giants at Denver, the Falcons at San Francisco, and Seattle over Houston.

Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 2 misses · all settled
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think Atlanta absolutely can and will win this game outright on Sunday Night football.
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
What’s Wright - NFL Week 7 Predictions: Raiders-Chiefs, Bucs-Lions, Commanders-Cowboys, Eagles-Vikings | Nick Wright
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidOct 18, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–7, 2026
  1. 1Indianapolis Colts to beat Chargers“I like Indi in this spot... I think they're the better team... But I do think Indy is the right side of it. / and then Indy I said, I thought could win outright”
  2. 2Atlanta Falcons to beat San Francisco“I think Atlanta absolutely can and will win this game outright on Sunday Night football... I love Atlanta in this spot. I think the wrong team is favored.”
  3. 3Los Angeles Rams to beat Jacksonville“Yeah, I I think the Rams are going to win. However, Jacksonville being so familiar playing in London...”
  4. 4New York Giants to beat Denver“The Giants are feeling good. The Giants can win this game outright... The Giants plus seven in a game they could win outright.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Indianapolis Colts to beat Chargers1Game Outcome Picks—1000+167
Atlanta Falcons to beat San Francisco2Game Outcome Picks—0100−167
Los Angeles Rams to beat Jacksonville3Game Outcome Picks—1000+167
New York Giants to beat Denver4Game Outcome Picks—0100−167
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled5050

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis Colts

    Indianapolis Colts to beat Chargers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.67difficulty+167skill

    Closing line (Oct 19): Chargers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Colts 45%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    IND
    score:
    38-24
    skill:
    167
    they picked:
    IND
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksAtlanta Falcons

    Atlanta Falcons to beat San Francisco

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.67difficulty−167skill

    Closing line (Oct 19): 49ers by 1.5 · a toss-up, Falcons 49%, 49ers 51%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    10-20
    skill:
    −167
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Jacksonville

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.67difficulty+167skill

    Closing line (Oct 19): Rams by 3 · favorite pick, Rams 60%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    35-7
    skill:
    167
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Game Outcome PicksNew York Giants

    New York Giants to beat Denver

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.67difficulty−167skill

    Closing line (Oct 19): Broncos by 7.5 · underdog pick, Giants 22%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    32-33
    skill:
    −167
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    50naive 50

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