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Pete Prisco#51 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 29, 2026

Prisco predicts a shootout between the Bills and Ravens, with Josh Allen's Buffalo winning 35-30 in Week 8.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

50Close · out of 100
Bills 36–10What happenedcalled Bills by 5 · won by 26
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
50This callout of 100
#51Pete Prisco’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pete Prisco said

Look for a shootout here with Josh Allen getting the best of it. Pick -- Bills 35, Ravens 30
Our reading: Buffalo Bills 35 — Ravens 30
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Brewers win franchise's first World Series; marquee AFC clash headlines Week 8 NFL picks
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 29
  2. PlayedNov 1
  3. GradedNov 1

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills 35 — Ravens 30

    What happenedBills 36–10called Bills by 5 · won by 26
    50Close · naive 50
    50this call50a naive guess0better than naive1.61difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3, total 54.5 · this 35–30 calls a bigger Bills win (by 5) and more points (65).

    How this was scored
    score:
    10-36
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    5
    Think this is wrong?

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