Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 2, 2026
In an AFC over/under draft, Wright took the Ravens over 11.5 (13 wins and the AFC's No. 1 seed), Bengals under, Jaguars over (10 wins and a playoff berth), Chargers under, Chiefs over (12 wins, beating Denver in Week 1), Broncos over (10 wins and a playoff spot), and Patriots under, while also projecting the Bills to win the AFC East with 11 wins.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Nick Wright said
And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- 2026 AFC Win Totals Draft with Nick Wright
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 1
- PlayedSep 14
- GradedSep 16
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Too vague | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Outcome Picks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Playoff Picks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Season Win Totals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | |
| Seeding, Byes and Home Field | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Division Winners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| All | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 |
How each call scored
16 claims — 11 season win totals, 2 playoff picks, 1 division winner, 1 game outcome pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — the 15 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of the 15 calls we can check have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The other one was too vague to check, so it is not graded.
Of the 9 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 3 and below it on 6.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Pittsburgh Steelers · 2026 season · wins6 calls from 5 pundits between 6 wins and 12 wins. Nick Wright said 6 wins. the room's median is 9 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Game Outcome Picks1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos
“They are going to start the season off beating Denver... Week one, Monday night football in Arrowhead against the Broncos... I think they win that game”
Chiefs 31–10Broncos at Chiefs100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 10-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Playoff Picks2 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“but I think they can win 10 and make the playoffs over eight and a half Jacksonville.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“that should be enough, enough for 10 wins and back in the playoffs. So I'm over for Denver.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Season Win Totals10 waiting · 1 too vague to checkShow ▸Hide ▾
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 6 wins
“So you're, I might've actually picked the Steelers, but it's because I think I projected them to go six and 11.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
“I expect them to win the division, to regain their spot atop the division. And I think they're going to win 11 games.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“I think the Bengals win eight, nine games. I'm under 10 and a half.”
—Too vague to checkToo vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins
“Listen, I have them going 7-10, so I don't have a big disagreement.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
“But I think they'll be 5-0 going into that and then go 7-5 the rest of the way. That's 12 wins.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 8–9 wins
“I think that they win eight– I don't know if we have them eight and nine or nine and eight”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins
“that should be enough, enough for 10 wins and back in the playoffs. So I'm over for Denver.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins
“but I think they can win 10 and make the playoffs over eight and a half Jacksonville.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
“I'm going under on your New England Patriots. And barely. I think they're going to win 10 games.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 13 wins
“And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games. So I have the Baltimore Ravens over 11 and a half with the first pick of the over under AFC draft.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Houston Texans to finish with 10–17 wins
“I am more confident... that they'll win 10-plus games than I am that they'll be a good postseason team”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Seeding, Byes and Home Field1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Baltimore Ravens to take the top seed
“And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Division Winners1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“they are still the class of the AFC East. I expect them to win the division, to regain their spot atop the division.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Dallas Cowboys · Miss 0
Rosenthal expects a high-scoring Eagles-Cowboys kickoff game, guesses a scoreline around 41-27, still believes Dallas can clear its win total and reach the playoffs, likes the Giants to beat expectations with Jackson Dart taking over as starter early.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Detroit Lions · Miss 0
Rosenthal made a series of over/under win-total picks: Lions over 10.5, Colts under 7.5, Vikings over 8.5, Jets over 5.5, Cowboys over 7.5 (and over 8 in a side challenge), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5, Bears under 8.5. They also predicted the Cowboys win 10 games and make the playoffs, and the Jets go 7-10.Danny Parkins · Season Win Totals · Las Vegas Raiders · Miss 0
Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs.Jason McIntyre · Season Win Totals · Atlanta Falcons · Hit 100
Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre backed the Michael Penix-led Falcons to clear eight wins, citing a soft road schedule, and argued Alabama's Jalen Milroe will be selected in the first round of the NFL draft despite some analysts grading them as a Day 3 prospect.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Miss 0
Rosenthal predicted Armand Membu could go to the Jets at No. 7, expects Josh Simmons to be picked in the first round despite injury and character concerns, and floated Donovan Jackson going to a team like the Patriots at the top of the second round. On win totals they leaned over on the Jets, Buccaneers, Lions and Chiefs.