Nick Wright· Sep 2, 2026
In an AFC over/under draft, Wright took the Ravens over 11.5 (13 wins and the AFC's No. 1 seed), Bengals under, Jaguars over (10 wins and a playoff berth), Chargers under, Chiefs over (12 wins, beating Denver in Week 1), Broncos over (10 wins and a playoff spot), and Patriots under, while also projecting the Bills to win the AFC East with 11 wins.
“And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
16 checkable claims — 11 season win totals, 2 playoff picks, 1 division winner, 1 game outcome pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 9 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 5 and below it on 4.
Where this call stands in the room
Denver Broncos · 2026 season · wins6 calls from 4 pundits between 10 wins and 12 wins. Nick Wright said 10 wins. the room's median is 11 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Broncos at Chiefs 45 calls
16 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 2, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Broncos
“They are going to start the season off beating Denver... Week one, Monday night football in Arrowhead against the Broncos... I think they win that game”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 10-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldBaltimore RavensSep 2, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to take the top seed
“And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsCincinnati BengalsSep 2, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with ? wins
“I think the Bengals win eight, nine games. I'm under 10 and a half.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
- Season Win TotalsPittsburgh SteelersSep 2, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 6 wins
“So you're, I might've actually picked the Steelers, but it's because I think I projected them to go six and 11.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsDenver BroncosSep 2, 2026
Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins
“that should be enough, enough for 10 wins and back in the playoffs. So I'm over for Denver.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksDenver BroncosSep 2, 2026
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“that should be enough, enough for 10 wins and back in the playoffs. So I'm over for Denver.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsIndianapolis ColtsSep 2, 2026
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins
“Listen, I have them going 7-10, so I don't have a big disagreement.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksJacksonville JaguarsSep 2, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“but I think they can win 10 and make the playoffs over eight and a half Jacksonville.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsNew England PatriotsSep 2, 2026
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
“I'm going under on your New England Patriots. And barely. I think they're going to win 10 games.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsLos Angeles ChargersSep 2, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 8–9 wins
“I think that they win eight– I don't know if we have them eight and nine or nine and eight”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsJacksonville JaguarsSep 2, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins
“but I think they can win 10 and make the playoffs over eight and a half Jacksonville.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsKansas City ChiefsSep 2, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
“But I think they'll be 5-0 going into that and then go 7-5 the rest of the way. That's 12 wins.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsHouston TexansSep 2, 2026
Houston Texans to finish with 10–17 wins
“I am more confident... that they'll win 10-plus games than I am that they'll be a good postseason team”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsBuffalo BillsSep 2, 2026
Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
“I expect them to win the division, to regain their spot atop the division. And I think they're going to win 11 games.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersBuffalo BillsSep 2, 2026
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“they are still the class of the AFC East. I expect them to win the division, to regain their spot atop the division.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsBaltimore RavensSep 2, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 13 wins
“And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games. So I have the Baltimore Ravens over 11 and a half with the first pick of the over under AFC draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals · Dallas CowboysHit · 100Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Green Bay PackersClose · 40Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking.
- John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals · San Francisco 49ersClose · 60Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Detroit LionsHit · 100Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. He also expects Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though he hedges that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen.
- Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. He also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated his earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games.
- JP AcostaSeason Win Totals · New York GiantsClose · 40Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco.