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Chad Ochocinco Johnson#63 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 19, 2025

Ochocinco says Christian Gonzalez belongs in the top-five DB conversation, believes Kyler Murray will be elsewhere next year, expects Chase to get a one-game suspension, backs Sam Darnold to bounce back, and floats Jaxon Smith-Njigba reaching 2,000 receiving yards. They also remind listeners they called the Bears and Panthers as teams to watch before the season.

Said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · 2 waiting
39.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 4Settled2 still waiting
#63Chad Ochocinco Johnson’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chad Ochocinco Johnson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Who are the two teams I told you to watch out for before the season started when I talked to you in August. The Bears and the Panthers.
Chad Ochocinco Johnson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Nightcap (podcast)
The episode
BEST OF NFL Week 11 Part 2: Ja'Marr Chase SPIT on Jalen Ramsey?!, Sam Darnold MELTDOWN throwing 4 PICKS against the Rams
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidNov 18, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–14, 2026
  1. 1Christian Gonzalez to finish top 5 at his position, by interceptions“he needs to be in the conversation of top five dbs.”
  2. 2Jaxon Smith-Njigba to record 2,000 receiving yards“he just going head huper crazy, dude gonna get two thousand”
  3. 3Carolina Panthers to beat expectations“Who are the two teams I told you to watch out for before the season started... The Bears and the Panthers.”
  4. 4Chicago Bears to beat expectations“Who are the two teams I told you to watch out for before the season started... The Bears and the Panthers.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Christian Gonzalez to finish top 5 at his position, by interceptions1Positional FinishesFinished #343000
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to record 2,000 receiving yards2Player Season Numbers1,79379.30+110.23
Carolina Panthers to beat expectations3Surprise Team Calls————
Chicago Bears to beat expectations4Surprise Team Calls————
4 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · 2 waiting39.70

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 surprise team calls, 1 player season number and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 39.7 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
5They said
343What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Positional FinishesChristian GonzalezNew England Patriots

    Christian Gonzalez to finish top 5 at his position, by interceptions

    What happenedFinished #343called #5 · by interceptions
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.39difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Christian Gonzalez
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    secondary
    ranked by:
    interceptions
    difficulty:
    1.39
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    71
    actual finish:
    343
    weeks left when called:
    7
    predicted finish:
    5
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Player Season NumbersJaxon Smith-NjigbaSeattle Seahawks

    Jaxon Smith-Njigba to record 2,000 receiving yards

    What happened1,793called 2,000
    79.3Close · naive 0
    79.3this call0a naive guess79.3better than naive1.39difficulty+110.23skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    739.87
    skill:
    110.23
    what happened:
    1793
    player:
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    79.3
    baseline:
    0
    they said:
    2000
    statistic:
    receiving_yards
    difficulty:
    1.39
    last season:
    1130
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7
    position average:
    349.73
    zero at percent out:
    50
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Surprise Team CallsCarolina Panthers

    Carolina Panthers to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Surprise Team CallsChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    39.7naive 0

Others on the same people

More surprise team calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.