Skip to main content

Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 19, 2025

Nick Wright maintains the Bills will still win the AFC East and win at least 11 games, that New England makes the playoffs, and that they'd still pick a Chiefs–Bills AFC Championship Game, likely at Arrowhead. They also call Josh Allen the second-best QB in football and reiterates their preseason NFC playoff seven.

Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 10calls landed5 hits · 5 misses · all settled
50.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 10 calls
45A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
10 of 10Settlednone still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

I still think they're gonna win the division?
Nick Wright, the lead quote
The episode
What’s Wright - Best Of - Josh Allen & Bills in DANGER? LeBron James DISRESPECTED in player rankings, Mahomes or Baker NFL MVP? | Nick Wright
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidOct 19, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Conference Champions0010
Playoff Picks4030
Season Win Totals1000
Positional Finishes0010
All5050

How each call scored

10 checkable claims — 7 playoff picks, 1 conference champion, 1 positional finish and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 10 have settled, averaging 50.5 out of 100, against 45 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Conference Champions1 missShow ▸
  1. Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl

    “if I had to pick it, Demonse, I would still say Chiefs Bills AFC Championship game”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    NE and SEA wonpicked KC
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.67 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    1.67
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks4 hits · 3 missesShow ▸
  1. Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs

    “It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.67 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    PHI
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs

    “It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”

    Los Angeles Rams

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.67 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    LAR
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs

    “It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.67 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    TB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs

    “It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”

    Green Bay Packers

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.67 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    GB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Chicago Bears to make the playoffs

    “It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”

    Chicago Bears

    Made the playoffs
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.67 difficulty = +167 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    CHI
    skill:
    167
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Detroit Lions to make the playoffs

    “It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”

    Detroit Lions

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.67 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    DET
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Washington Commanders to make the playoffs

    “It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”

    Washington Commanders

    Missed the playoffs
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.67 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    WAS
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals1 hitShow ▸
  1. Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins

    “I just think Buffalo is still going to win eleven games at least.”

    Buffalo Bills

    12called 11
    80Hit

    80 − 75 naive = 5 × 1.67 difficulty = +8.35 skill

    How this was scored
    team:
    BUF
    naive:
    10.75
    skill:
    8.35
    what happened:
    12
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    75
    they said:
    11
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
Positional Finishes1 missShow ▸
  1. Josh Allen to finish top 2 at his position, by passing yards

    “I still think he's the second best quarterback in football.”

    Josh AllenBuffalo Bills

    Finished #11called #2 · by passing yards
    25Miss

    25 − 75 naive = −50 × 1.67 difficulty = −83.5 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    −83.5
    player:
    Josh Allen
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    25
    baseline:
    75
    position:
    QB
    ranked by:
    passing yards
    difficulty:
    1.67
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    14
    actual finish:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    12
    predicted finish:
    2
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More playoff picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.