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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 24, 2025

Rosenthal unveiled their top 101 free agents of 2025 for NFL.com, ranking Tee Higgins first, Trey Smith second and Milton Williams third, with Nick Chubb at No. 101. They also expect Higgins to be franchise tagged rather than reach free agency.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
42Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
75A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
T. Higgins, who we think is gonna get franchise, Tag will not get the free agency
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
The Top 101 Free Agents of 2025!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–Sep 18, 2026
  1. 1Tee Higgins to move“T. Higgins, who we think is gonna get franchise, Tag will not get the free agency”
  2. 2Top Player Lists“Here are the top ten free agents... T. Higgins... Trey Smith... Milton Williams three... Ronnie Stanley four, Zach Bond coming off a career year at number five, Sam Darnold at six, Osa Adigie Zua at number seven, Josh Sweat from the Eagles at eight, Chris Godwin at nine, and Carlton Davis... Nick Chubb at twenty nine is my one on one.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tee Higgins to move1Trade and Signing CallsEnded up with CIN0100−200
“Here are the top ten free agents... T. Higgins... Trey Smith...…”2Top Player Lists—83.9450+33.94
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled4275

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 top player list and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 42 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happenedEnded up with CIN
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Tee Higgins
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    CIN
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    CIN
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Top Player Lists

    “Here are the top ten free agents... T. Higgins... Trey Smith... Milton Williams three... Ronnie Stanley four, Zach Bond coming off a career year at number five, Sam Darnold at six, Osa Adigie Zua at number seven, Josh Sweat from the Eagles at eight, Chris Godwin at nine, and Carlton Davis... Nick Chubb at twenty nine is my one on one.”

    VerdictHit
    83.94Hit · naive 50
    83.94this call50a naive guess33.94better than naive1difficulty+33.94skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    33.94
    placed:
    17
    season:
    2024
    players:
    22
    accuracy:
    83.94
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    WR 8: 95.24, DT 2: 100, LB 3: 75, CB 4: 60
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    42naive 75

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.