Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 26, 2025
Brockman predicted the NFC South order as Falcons first, Buccaneers second, Panthers third, Saints last, with both Atlanta and Tampa making the playoffs; they also expect the Saints to end up with the No. 1 overall pick and select Arch Manning.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original
1 of 6calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · 4 misses · all settled
27.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
56A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 6Settlednone still waiting
What Chris Brockman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI'm gonna go with Atlanta first, Tampa. But I do think they both make the playoffs.
- Where it was said
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
- The episode
- NFC South Predictions
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidAug 26, 2025
- GradedAug 13–17, 2026
- 1Atlanta Falcons to win the division“I know you guys are gonna take the Bucks first, but I'm gonna take the Falcons first... I'm gonna go with Atlanta first”
- 2New Orleans Saints to pick at number 1“In the perfect dream scenario, they have the number one pick. Arch wins the Heisman, the Natty, and and they take him first overall”
- 3Power Rankings“At the bottom, I think it's an obvious Saints being fourth... I think Carolina is an is an up and coming team, but I still think they're third. I still think they're behind Atlanta and Tampa... I'm gonna go with Atlanta first, Tampa.”
- 4Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs“But I do think they both make the playoffs.”
- 5Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs“But I do think they both make the playoffs.”
- 6Arch Manning to be picked at number 1“they have the number one pick. Arch wins the Heisman, the Natty, and and they take him first overall”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons to win the division1 | Division Winners | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| New Orleans Saints to pick at number 12 | Team Draft Slot Calls | Picked at 8 | 73.84 | 95.76 | −43.84 | |
| “At the bottom, I think it's an obvious Saints being fourth... I…”3 | Power Rankings | — | 90 | 90 | 0 | |
| Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs4 | Playoff Picks | Missed the playoffs | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs5 | Playoff Picks | Missed the playoffs | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arch Manning to be picked at number 16 | Mock Draft Picks | Went undrafted | 0 | 50 | — | |
| 6 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 4 misses · all settled | 27.3 | 56 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive6 checkable claims — 2 playoff picks, 1 division winner, 1 mock draft pick, 1 power ranking and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 27.3 out of 100, against 56 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Division WinnersAtlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons to win the division
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
2Team Draft Slot CallsNew Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints to pick at number 1
What happenedPicked at 8called 173.84Close · naive 95.7673.84this call−95.76a naive guess=−21.92worse than naive×2difficulty=−43.84skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- NO
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- they picked 9 the year before
- skill:
- −43.84
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 95.76
- actual pick:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“At the bottom, I think it's an obvious Saints being fourth... I think Carolina is an is an up and coming team, but I still think they're third. I still think they're behind Atlanta and Tampa... I'm gonna go with Atlanta first, Tampa.”
VerdictHit90Hit · naive 9090this call−90a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 90
- baseline:
- 90
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs
What happenedMissed the playoffs0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- ATL
- skill:
- −200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 18
5Playoff PicksTampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
What happenedMissed the playoffs0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- TB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 18
6Mock Draft PicksArch ManningNew Orleans Saints
Arch Manning to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 10Miss · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Arch Manning
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once
27.3naive 56
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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More playoff picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Rich Eisen · Playoff Picks · Minnesota Vikings · Miss 0
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