Tom StrachanSep 9, 2026
In their Week 1 start/sit column, Strachan flags four players as risky starts — Carnell Tate, Kyle Pitts, Quinshon Judkins and Rashee Rice — and three as safe starts — Javonte Williams, Ashton Jeanty and Chris Olave. They also suggest the Raiders will open with a home win over Miami.
Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original
What Tom Strachan said
Everything about Pitts screams risky.
- Where it was published
- FantasyPros
- The piece
- Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice: Safe & Risky Picks (Week 1)
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 9
- PlayedSep 13
- GradedSep 15
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Game Outcome PicksLas Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Miami Dolphins
What happenedRaiders 27–13Dolphins at Raiders100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillClosing line (Sep 13): Raiders by 3 · favorite pick, Raiders 60%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- LV
- score:
- 13-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LV
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
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