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John Breech· Oct 29, 2026

Breech's Week 8 score predictions include Bengals over Titans, Raiders over Jets, Rams over Chargers and Patriots over Dolphins.

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 4 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 91.1 out of 100, against 57.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Los Angeles Rams 31 — Chargers 20

    “Rams 31, Chargers 20”

    Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 65.99+39.42 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    9-24
    skill:
    39.42
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    90.48
    baseline:
    65.99
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Rams by 6.5, total 46.5 · this 31–20 calls a bigger Rams win (by 11) and more points (51).

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  • New England Patriots 31 — Dolphins 17

    “Patriots 31, Dolphins 17”

    Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 39.8+62.42 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-19
    skill:
    62.42
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    78.57
    baseline:
    39.8
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    14

    Closing line (Nov 1): Patriots by 7, total 41.5 · this 31–17 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 14) and more points (48).

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  • Las Vegas Raiders 20 — Jets 17

    “Raiders 20, Jets 17”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 39.22+90.18 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    38-33
    skill:
    90.18
    they picked:
    LV
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    39.22
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 1): Jets by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 20–17 calls a Raiders win (by 3; the line gave the Raiders 47%) and fewer points (37).

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  • Cincinnati Bengals 24 — Titans 17

    “Bengals 24, Titans 17”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 84.46+25.02 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    36-43
    skill:
    25.02
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    84.46
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bengals by 13.5, total 45.5 · this 24–17 calls a closer game (Bengals by 7) and fewer points (41).

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