Richard Sherman· Oct 28, 2026

Sherman kept his top five unchanged in concept but shuffled it to 49ers, Bills, Vikings, Chiefs, Bears, and made Week 8 picks across the slate, including Seattle over Chicago 27-17 and a begrudging Lions pick over Minnesota.

“I think the Seattle Seahawks walk away with this one... We'll call it 27-17.”

said on air or in an interview · The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast) · read the original →

15 checkable claims — 12 game outcome picks, 1 division winner, 1 power ranking and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

13 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 71.8 out of 100, against 70.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

15 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Score Predictions Seattle SeahawksOct 28, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 27 — Chicago Bears 17
“I think the Seattle Seahawks walk away with this one. We will call it... We're in Seattle. We'll call it 20... 27-17.”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 10.88+36.15 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-17
skill:
36.15
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
33.33
baseline:
10.88
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
11
naive home margin:
0.57
predicted margin:
10
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 10) and fewer points (44).
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks New England PatriotsOct 28, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Miami Dolphins
“But I think the New England Patriots walk away with this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
24-19
skill:
161
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
MIA
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Closing line (Nov 1): Patriots by 7 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%).
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles RamsOct 28, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers
“But I think Matthew Stafford and this Rams team are playing with a sense of urgency... but I think they'll win this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
9-24
skill:
0
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Closing line (Nov 1): Rams by 6.5 · favorite pick, Rams 71%.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Kansas City ChiefsOct 28, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Denver Broncos
“I got the Kansas City Chiefs winning this game, going away.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skill
How this was scored
won:
DEN
score:
24-28
skill:
−161
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Closing line (Nov 1): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Chiefs 50%, Broncos 50%.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Washington CommandersOct 28, 2026
Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles
“Give me Washington in this one begrudgingly just because of how terrible the Philadelphia Eagles defense played against Dallas Cowboys.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
WAS
score:
10-27
skill:
0
they picked:
WAS
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
WAS
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Closing line (Nov 1): Commanders by 6 · favorite pick, Commanders 71%.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Pittsburgh SteelersOct 28, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Cleveland Browns
“I would take Pittsburgh in this game, but every time I take Pittsburgh, Cleveland upsets them. But give me Pittsburgh in this one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
6-27
skill:
0
they picked:
PIT
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 64%.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Dallas CowboysOct 28, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to beat Arizona Cardinals
“Give me Dallas in this game. I think they're going to win this one going away... I don't think Arizona's got enough.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
ARI
score:
33-30
skill:
0
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Closing line (Nov 1): Cowboys by 7 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 3 in 4 (74%).
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Jacksonville JaguarsOct 28, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Indianapolis Colts
“Yeah, I expect them to dominate this game... Going away, give me Jacksonville.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
JAX
score:
7-42
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
JAX
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Closing line (Nov 1): Jaguars by 10 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (80%).
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Cincinnati BengalsOct 28, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Tennessee Titans
“Give me Cincinnati in this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
CIN
score:
36-43
skill:
0
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
CIN
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Closing line (Nov 1): Bengals by 13.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 6 in 7 (86%).
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Las Vegas RaidersOct 28, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders to beat New York Jets
“It's going to be a toss-up game, but give me Las Vegas in this one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
How this was scored
won:
LV
score:
38-33
skill:
161
they picked:
LV
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
NYJ
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Closing line (Nov 1): Jets by 1.5 · a toss-up, Raiders 47%, Jets 53%.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Detroit LionsOct 28, 2026
Detroit Lions to beat Minnesota Vikings
“I'm going to go with the Honolulu Blue Boys this time, but begrudgingly, begrudgingly.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
DET
score:
15-19
skill:
0
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Closing line (Nov 1): Lions by 3 · favorite pick, Lions 60%.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Atlanta FalconsOct 28, 2026
Atlanta Falcons to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“I'm going to go with Atlanta just because they beat the San Francisco 49ers... they come out with a win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skill
How this was scored
won:
TB
score:
0-16
skill:
−161
they picked:
ATL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Closing line (Nov 1): Buccaneers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Falcons 46%.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Green Bay PackersOct 28, 2026
Green Bay Packers to beat Carolina Panthers
“I guess I'll take Green Bay in this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
GB
score:
19-27
skill:
0
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
GB
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Packers 63%.
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsOct 28, 2026
“I got the 49ers. I got the Buffalo Bills. I got the Vikings, the Chiefs, and the Bears.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Dallas CowboysOct 28, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
“if you had to bet and you had to put your money on somebody, you'd put it on Dallas just because they're the most talented team”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Parker HurleyTrade and Signing Calls · Jessie BatesMiss · 0
Hurley argues a Jessie Bates trade to San Francisco is unrealistic because Atlanta remains in the weak NFC South race and likely won't sell, and he expects 49ers safety Ji'Ayir Brown to depart in free agency after this season.
Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100
Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jared KochGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansHit · 100
Koch predicts the Texans will beat the winless Chargers on the road in Week 9 by at least 10 points, with Houston's defense forcing a couple of turnovers to set up a multiple-score win.
Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100
Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
Eric ManginiGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0
Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals.
Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0
Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.
Donte JohnsonGame Outcome Picks · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0
The former NFL safety picked the Buccaneers to upset the Bears in their Week 9 matchup, arguing Todd Bowles' defense would frustrate Caleb Williams.
AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100
Hawk said the Chiefs would beat the Jets, the Seahawks would beat the Cardinals, and the 49ers would beat the Raiders, even while taking the points with the underdogs in each case.

Who this take is about

The games in this take

15 checkable claims in this take

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

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