Nick Wright· Oct 9, 2026
Amid a Week 5 betting-picks show, Wright made a few straight outcome calls: a Houston blowout of Tennessee by a 27-7 score, a Seattle home win over San Francisco by a touchdown, an outright Raiders win at New England, and the winless Chargers finally beating Denver. He also said he does not believe Lamar Jackson will play against Atlanta.
“I think Houston 27, Tennessee 7.”
said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 availability call and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 23.2 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Texans at Titans 25 calls
- Raiders at Patriots 28 calls
- Broncos at Chargers 34 calls
- 49ers at Seahawks 60 calls
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles ChargersOct 9, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Denver
“I think the Chargers might get their first win of the year, buddy.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 23-17
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LAC
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 11): Broncos by 3.5 · underdog pick, Chargers 37%.
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksOct 9, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco
“I think Seattle wins this game by a touchdown.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 32-29
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
- Game Outcome PicksLas Vegas RaidersOct 9, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders to beat New England
“so I will take the Raiders getting the 3.5. And I think they might win outright.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-178 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 17-45
- skill:
- −178
- they picked:
- LV
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5 · underdog pick, Raiders 38%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
- Score PredictionsHouston TexansOct 9, 2026
Houston Texans 27 — Tennessee 7
“I think this is a Texans blowout spot... I think Houston 27, Tennessee 7.”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 0+165.29 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 26-3
- skill:
- 165.29
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 20
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 27–7 calls a bigger Texans win (by 20) and fewer points (34).
“This line means Lamar's not playing. Now, Schefter earlier this week said he might play. I don't think he is playing. (Week 5 vs Atlanta)”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Michael HanichRoster Spot Calls · George HolaniHit · 100After Seattle's Week 5 loss to San Francisco, Hanich argued running back George Holani has become too much of a liability to keep on the 53-man roster, while Emanuel Wilson will likely remain the team's lead back until Jadarian Price or Zach Charbonnet return.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Tice picked the Seahawks to beat the 49ers in Seattle in Week 5, citing Seattle's discipline, and said Seattle's defense is at worst the second-best in the league.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 45Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 38Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills.
- Jeremy PargoScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 48Bergman picked winners and exact scores for every Week 5 game, siding with Jacksonville in London, the Saints over the unbeaten Vikings, the Jets over Cleveland and the Rams over Buffalo.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 48Parr picked every Week 5 game with scores, leaning on Chicago's ground game at Lambeau, Seattle's defense against the unbeaten 49ers, and the Rams handling Buffalo on Monday night.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- John GreenGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position.
- Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilioGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense.
- Darius ButlerGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen.
- Pat McAfeeGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel.
- Blaine GrisakGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Grisak expects the Rams to lose to the Bills on Monday night, dropping to 2-3, before getting right against the Cardinals in Week 6. He also expects Myles Garrett back more realistically in Week 7 against the Raiders and Terrance Ferguson back in Week 8 against the Chargers, and thinks Aaron Donald and Colby Parkinson will be available against Buffalo.