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Ethan Hurwitz· Oct 26, 2026

Hurwitz argues A.J. Brown's slow start with New England is temporary, predicting he'll eventually post a 100-yard, one-touchdown game, possibly as soon as the home matchup with Miami. He also calls the upcoming Dolphins game very winnable for the Patriots.

“Sooner or later, he'll break out and grab 100+ receiving yards and a touchdown.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • New England Patriots to beat Miami Dolphins

    “This week, the Patriots will play host to the Miami Dolphins... It's a very winnable game for the Patriots”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    24-19
    skill:
    167
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIA
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12

    Closing line (Nov 1): Patriots by 7 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%).

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