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Pete Prisco· Nov 4, 2026

Prisco picks every Week 9 NFL game with final scores, including the Jaguars winning in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson, the Cowboys rebounding at Indianapolis, and the Bills beating the Vikings in the Monday night game.

“Look for the Jaguars to win a road game on a short week.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

15 checkable claims — 15 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

14 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 82 out of 100, against 39.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

15 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Seattle Seahawks 30 — Cardinals 13

    “Pick: Seahawks 30, Cardinals 13”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 66.97+40.39 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    3-17
    skill:
    40.39
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    66.97
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    17

    Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5, total 39.5 · this 30–13 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 17) and more points (43).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Houston Texans 19 — Chargers 16

    “Pick: Texans 19, Chargers 16”

    Close · 55Scored 54.76a naive guess scored 0+85.43 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    44-22
    skill:
    85.43
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    54.76
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5, total 40.5 · this 19–16 calls a closer game (Texans by 3) and fewer points (35).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chicago Bears 24 — Bucs 21

    “Pick: Bears 24, Bucs 21”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 93.16+10.68 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    10.68
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    93.16
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 24–21 calls a closer game (Bears by 3) and fewer points (45).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers 19 — Patriots 16

    “Pick: Packers 19, Patriots 16”

    Close · 64Scored 64.29a naive guess scored 7.44+88.68 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    88.68
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    64.29
    baseline:
    7.44
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3, total 44.5 · this 19–16 calls a Packers win (by 3; the line gave the Packers 38%) and fewer points (35).

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers 31 — Raiders 17

    “Pick: 49ers 31, Raiders 17”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 50.3+51.53 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    17-38
    skill:
    51.53
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    50.3
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    14

    Closing line (Nov 8): 49ers by 8.5, total 51.5 · this 31–17 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 14) and fewer points (48).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denver Broncos 26 — Panthers 20

    “Pick: Broncos 26, Panthers 20”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 38.44+92.31 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    92.31
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    38.44
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    6

    Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3, total 44.5 · this 26–20 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 6) and more points (46).

    Think this is wrong?

  • New York Giants 22 — Eagles 20

    “Pick: Giants 22, Eagles 20”

    Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 31.3+84.89 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-11
    skill:
    84.89
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    31.3
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    2

    Closing line (Nov 8): Giants by 3, total 38.5 · this 22–20 calls a closer game (Giants by 2) and more points (42).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs 24 — Jets 17

    “Pick: Chiefs 24, Jets 17”

    Close · 62Scored 61.9a naive guess scored 50+18.57 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    12-35
    skill:
    18.57
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    61.9
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5, total 47.5 · this 24–17 calls a closer game (Chiefs by 7) and fewer points (41).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams 28 — Commanders 24

    “Pick: Rams 28, Commanders 24”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 33.68+92.31 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    20-13
    skill:
    92.31
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    33.68
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 8): Rams by 4.5, total 48.5 · this 28–24 calls a closer game (Rams by 4) and more points (52).

    Think this is wrong?

  • New Orleans Saints 17 — Browns 14

    “Pick: Saints 17, Browns 14”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 97.97-4.26 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-23
    skill:
    −4.26
    they picked:
    NO
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    97.97
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 17–14 calls a closer game (Saints by 3) and fewer points (31).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Detroit Lions 30 — Dolphins 13

    “Pick: Lions 30, Dolphins 13”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 26.54+88.6 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-9
    skill:
    88.6
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    26.54
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    17

    Closing line (Nov 8): Lions by 6.5, total 49.5 · this 30–13 calls a bigger Lions win (by 17) and fewer points (43).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dallas Cowboys 31 — Colts 17

    “Pick: Cowboys 31, Colts 17”

    Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 40.82+55.17 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    27-23
    skill:
    55.17
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    40.82
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    14

    Closing line (Nov 8): Cowboys by 4.5, total 51.5 · this 31–17 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 14) and fewer points (48).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cincinnati Bengals 33 — Falcons 21

    “Pick: Bengals 33, Falcons 21”

    Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 10.09+121.7 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    121.7
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    88.1
    baseline:
    10.09
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.24
    predicted margin:
    12

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3, total 52.5 · this 33–21 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 12) and more points (54).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Ravens 16

    “Pick: Jaguars 27, Ravens 16”

    Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 0+111.43 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    33-10
    skill:
    111.43
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.38
    predicted margin:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 27–16 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 11) and more points (43).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills 21 — Vikings 14

    “Pick: Bills 21, Vikings 14”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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