Skip to main content

Cynthia Frelund#45 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 21, 2025

Frelund picks the 49ers to beat the Panthers by a touchdown on Monday night, the Packers to beat the Vikings, and agrees Atlanta wins outright at New Orleans; they also think the Raiders can beat the Browns by about two points.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled
66.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
33.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#45Cynthia Frelund’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Cynthia Frelund said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think that on Monday Night football, the San Francisco forty nine Ers win by a touchdown.
Cynthia Frelund, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Week 12 NFL Picks with Cynthia Frelund
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidNov 21, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026
  1. 1Atlanta Falcons to beat Saints“I'm actually aligned with you on Atlanta winning straight up.”
  2. 2San Francisco 49ers to beat Panthers“I think that on Monday Night football, the San Francisco forty nine Ers win by a touchdown.”
  3. 3Las Vegas Raiders to beat Browns“But ultimately I do think the Raiders can pull this one out ... here's the one stat I can point to for why I only think it's by two points.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Atlanta Falcons to beat Saints1Game Outcome Picks—1000+139
San Francisco 49ers to beat Panthers2Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Browns3Game Outcome Picks—000
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled66.733.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksAtlanta Falcons

    Atlanta Falcons to beat Saints

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.39difficulty+139skill

    Closing line (Nov 23): Saints by 1.5 · a toss-up, Falcons 47%, Saints 53%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    ATL
    score:
    24-10
    skill:
    139
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NO
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Panthers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.39difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 24): 49ers by 7.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    9-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksLas Vegas Raiders

    Las Vegas Raiders to beat Browns

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.39difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 23): Raiders by 3 · favorite pick, Raiders 59%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CLE
    score:
    24-10
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LV
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LV
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    66.7naive 33.3

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.