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Shanna McCarriston· Oct 30, 2026

Previewing three Week 8 games, she predicts the Patriots will most likely beat the Dolphins in Miami despite their historical struggles there, while expecting the Falcons-Buccaneers game to be close and competitive.

“Will the Patriots lose to the Dolphins? Most likely not, but it could get closer than people think; divisional games tend to do that.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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  • New England Patriots to beat Dolphins

    “Will the Patriots lose to the Dolphins? Most likely not, but it could get closer than people think; divisional games tend to do that.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    24-19
    skill:
    161
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIA
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Patriots by 7 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%).

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