Matt Hamilton· Sep 8, 2026
Hamilton picked Cowboys, Packers, Saints, Rams, Bills, Ravens, Texans and Broncos as division winners, with Seahawks/Eagles/Bears and Chiefs/Jaguars/Bengals as wild cards, a Rams win over the Chiefs in the Super Bowl, and awards to Jordan Love, JSN, Jeremiah Love, Ruben Bain and Jesse Minter. He also picked Denver to beat Kansas City 27-17 in Week 1.
“We're gonna get it, and we're getting fireworks in LA for that Super Bowl Chiefs Rams.”
said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast) · read the original →
24 checkable claims — 8 division winners, 6 playoff picks, 4 award picks, 2 conference champions, 2 score predictions, 1 coach award pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 24 have settled so far, averaging 53.6 out of 100, against 71.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Broncos at Chiefs 45 calls
- Colts at Chiefs 17 calls
24 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsSep 8, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 24 — Colts 14
“But I think the Chiefs bounced back and beat the Colts. I'm gonna say twenty four fourteen.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.63-16.59 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- -16.59
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.63
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- -0.52
- predicted margin:
- 10
- Score PredictionsDenver BroncosSep 8, 2026
Denver Broncos 27 — Chiefs 17
“I do think the Broncos are gonna win this game week one. I'm gonna say twenty seven seventeen.”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 51.93-56.25 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 10-31
- skill:
- -56.25
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 23.81
- baseline:
- 51.93
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- naive home margin:
- 0.81
- predicted margin:
- 10
- Playoff PicksChicago BearsSep 8, 2026
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
“And then I'm gonna go bears because I agree with a lot of the stuff you said, Kent.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersGreen Bay PackersSep 8, 2026
Green Bay Packers to win the division
“But I'm gonna go with the Packers... but I'm I'm in on Jordan Love.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Award PicksJaxon Smith-NjigbaSep 8, 2026
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year
“I'm going JSN. I think he becomes just the third player to win it back to back.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Coach Award PicksSep 8, 2026
Jesse Minter to win Coach of the Year
“I'm gonna go Jesse Minter. I think, the Ravens had a nice big bounce back here.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksCincinnati BengalsSep 8, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
“I'm going with Ken Swanson's favorite new favorite team, the Bengals, as my final wild card spot”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersBaltimore RavensSep 8, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“I'm gonna go with the Ravens... So I think the Ravens are gonna be right back, in the class of the AFC”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersNew Orleans SaintsSep 8, 2026
New Orleans Saints to win the division
“I'm gonna go Saints. I like what I saw from Tyler Shuck.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Award PicksRueben BainSep 8, 2026
Rueben Bain to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“I'm gonna go Ruben Bayne... I think he has a dominant year”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersDenver BroncosSep 8, 2026
Denver Broncos to win the division
“But I'm going to pick the Denver Broncos... I am picking the Broncos to win the west.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersHouston TexansSep 8, 2026
Houston Texans to win the division
“So I'm gonna go with the Texans there edging out the Jaguars.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersDallas CowboysSep 8, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
“So I think the cowboys end up edging edging out the eagles there in the East.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 8, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“My wild card teams, I'm going with the Chiefs as the top wild card spot.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksJacksonville JaguarsSep 8, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“I'm going with the Jaguars”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Conference ChampionsLos Angeles RamsSep 8, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl
“on the NFC side, I'll be I'll take the low hanging fruit of the Rams”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Conference ChampionsKansas City ChiefsSep 8, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“And I think it's the Kansas City Chiefs. I think they're going.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Award PicksJeremiyah LoveSep 8, 2026
Jeremiyah Love to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“I'm gonna go with Notre Dame starter, because I think, he he's gonna catch them all a lot... going with Jeremiah Love.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersBuffalo BillsSep 8, 2026
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“I'm also gonna go with the Bills... I think they're good enough to win win the East.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksPhiladelphia EaglesSep 8, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
“then I'll go Eagles. I don't think the wheels are totally gonna fall off this thing yet.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersLos Angeles RamsSep 8, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“I'm gonna go with the Rams... I think the Rams did overtake them this year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Award PicksJordan LoveGreen Bay PackersSep 8, 2026
Jordan Love to win MVP
“I'm calling Jordan Love... So I'm going Jordan love.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles RamsSep 8, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
“I think I think the Rams pulled off over the Chiefs. I think there's too much firepower.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksSeattle SeahawksSep 8, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
“I'm going Seahawks... they'll be my top wildcard team”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
More division winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Daniel DiBerardinisDivision Winners · Atlanta FalconsMiss · 0Danny D predicts Sonny Styles goes in the top ten (maybe top five), doesn't think Ty Simpson goes before late first round, says Kenyon Sadiq lands with the Rams at 13, and picks the Falcons to win the NFC South while naming the Bengals an AFC bounce-back team. He also gives a Final Four of Michigan, Florida, Purdue and Arizona with Michigan winning.
- Colin CowherdDivision Winners · New York GiantsMiss · 0Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.
- Colin CowherdDivision Winners · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Cowherd unveiled his top 10 NFL teams entering next season, with Seattle first, the Rams second and the Chiefs tenth, and separately picked the Chargers to win the AFC West.
- Rich EisenDivision Winners · New England PatriotsHit · 100Eisen said the Patriots are still likely to win the AFC East and won't be one-and-done, that the Chargers will end Dallas' season next week, that TreVeyon Henderson should out-snap Rhamondre Stevenson, that the NFC East race is over in Philadelphia's favor, and that the winner of the NFC West will be the NFC's No. 1 seed.
- Rich EisenDivision Winners · New England PatriotsHit · 100Eisen previewed week 15 games, predicting Joe Burrow would play well in his first home start back against Baltimore, and speculated on a possible Colts-Steelers wild card matchup. He also asserted the Chiefs will not win their division for a tenth straight year, keeping the Patriots' record of 11 straight division titles safe.
- Nick ShookDivision Winners · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 0Shook picks the Rams to win the Super Bowl and to beat the Lions, agrees the Buccaneers still hold the edge in the NFC South, and drops Patrick Mahomes to 12th in his QB Index behind Brock Purdy.