Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 15, 2025
Eisen said the Patriots are still likely to win the AFC East and won't be one-and-done, that the Chargers will end Dallas' season next week, that TreVeyon Henderson should out-snap Rhamondre Stevenson, that the NFC East race is over in Philadelphia's favor, and that the winner of the NFC West will be the NFC's No. 1 seed.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Rich Eisen said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo you could you're still probably gonna win this division, Chris, unless you lose two of the last three.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 15: Chiefs' Dynasty Done? Micah Injury Impact, Rivers' Return
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidDec 15, 2025
- GradedAug 13–17, 2026
- 1New England Patriots to win the division“So you could you're still probably gonna win this division, Chris, unless you lose two of the last three.”
- 2Philadelphia Eagles to win the division“The NFC East is really the only thing That's a wrap. Right.”
- 3Los Angeles Chargers to beat Dallas“The chargers are teams is a team that is gonna end Dallas' season next week”
- 4TreVeyon Henderson to be 1st on the depth chart“And I I mean, I think he should definitely start out snapping, Ramondre by a nice margin too.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots to win the division1 | Division Winners | — | 100 | 0 | +122 | |
| Philadelphia Eagles to win the division2 | Division Winners | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers to beat Dallas3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +122 | |
| TreVeyon Henderson to be 1st on the depth chart4 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 1 | 100 | 91.67 | +10.17 | |
| 4 calls · 4 hits · all settled | 100 | 47.9 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 2 division winners, 1 depth chart call and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 47.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Division WinnersNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to win the division
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.22difficulty=+122skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 122
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 4
- won the division:
- yes
2Division WinnersPhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.22difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 4
- won the division:
- yes
3Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Dallas
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.22difficulty=+122skillClosing line (Dec 21): Cowboys by 1.5 · a toss-up, Chargers 47%, Cowboys 53%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- LAC
- score:
- 34-17
- skill:
- 122
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 4
4Depth Chart CallsTreVeyon HendersonNew England Patriots
TreVeyon Henderson to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by rushing yards100Hit · naive 91.67100this call−91.67a naive guess=8.33better than naive×1.22difficulty=+10.17skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- NE
- skill:
- 10.17
- player:
- TreVeyon Henderson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1.22
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 4
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 47.9
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Pat Fitzmaurice · Score Predictions · New England Patriots · Miss 14
Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said they would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11.Kevin Wildes · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched their Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears.Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. They also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated their Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.Eric Mangini · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as their upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated their Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals.Connor Rogers · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.
More division winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Daniel DiBerardinis · Division Winners · Atlanta Falcons · Miss 0
Danny D predicts Sonny Styles goes in the top ten (maybe top five), doesn't think Ty Simpson goes before late first round, says Kenyon Sadiq lands with the Rams at 13, and picks the Falcons to win the NFC South while naming the Bengals an AFC bounce-back team. They also give a Final Four of Michigan, Florida, Purdue and Arizona with Michigan winning.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · New York Giants · Miss 0
Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. They also expect Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and they float the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Cowherd likes Jacksonville, Chicago and Pittsburgh (with DK Metcalf back) in the wild-card round, ranks the league's head coaches with McVay first and Ben Johnson seventh, and predicts Lamar Jackson has about two strong years left. They also name the Rams as a possible team to draft a receiver and floats next year's draft having seven first-round quarterbacks.Cynthia Frelund · Division Winners · Houston Texans · Miss 0
Freeland's model has the Chargers winning straight up in Dallas, the Texans winning big over the Raiders and going on to win the AFC South, the Lions beating the Steelers by six, the Saints beating the Jets, and the Packers beating the Bears; they also see the AFC's Super Bowl representative being either Denver or Houston.Chris Brockman · Division Winners · Chicago Bears · Hit 100
Brockman called the Broncos-Packers game the best of the day, said Denver looks poised to lock up the AFC's No. 1 seed and reach the AFC Championship Game, predicted the Bears win the NFC North and the Eagles win their division (though they think they lose to a five seed from the NFC West), and said Philip Rivers will be in the NFL in 2026.