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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 12, 2025

Eisen previewed week 15 games, predicting Joe Burrow would play well in their first home start back against Baltimore, and speculated on a possible Colts-Steelers wild card matchup. They also asserted the Chiefs will not win their division for a tenth straight year, keeping the Patriots' record of 11 straight division titles safe.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Division WinnersThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

I think he's gonna ball out quite frankly, and the Ravens have got their hands full.
Our reading: New England Patriots to win the division
The episode
Hour 3: Rich’s Top 5 NFL Week 15 Games, plus Carolina Panthers DT Derrick Brown
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidDec 12, 2025
  2. GradedAug 17, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Division WinnersNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to win the division

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.22difficulty+122skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    122
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1.22
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.