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Brendon NelsonNov 14, 2026

Nelson expects a conservative, basic gameplan for Drew Lock against the Raiders rather than an opened-up playbook, predicts Seattle takes a quarterback in the upcoming draft — naming Jayden Maiava, with Lock as a bridge — and believes Sam Darnold would fetch at least a second-round pick and possibly a first in an offseason trade.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waiting3 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 3Settled3 still waiting
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Brendon Nelson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'll say we get Jayden Maiava, with Lock as a bridge.
Brendon Nelson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Seahawks Mailbag: 4 Questions Leading Into The Raiders Game
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart“I'll say we get Jayden Maiava, with Lock as a bridge.”
  2. 2Jayden Maiava to be picked “someone will be there at Seattle's first round pick, and there may even be someone still standing by their second round pick” (picks 1–64)“There are so many appealing prospects in this draft, someone will be there at Seattle's first round pick... I'll say we get Jayden Maiava, with Lock as a bridge.”
  3. 3Sam Darnold to move — “traded for a first-round pick; a second plus is the minimum”“I think we can pull a first for our Sam too... As long as Darnold plays solid football post-bye, I think a second plus is the minimum.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

How each call scored

3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 mock draft pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Drew Lock · 2026 season

24 calls from 18 pundits between 1 and 2. Brendon Nelson said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Brendon Nelson — 1the room — 24 calls from 18 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against the room

1They said
1The room (18 pundits)

Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsDrew LockSeattle Seahawks

    Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksJayden MaiavaSeattle Seahawks

    Jayden Maiava to be picked “someone will be there at Seattle's first round pick, and there may even be someone still standing by their second round pick” (picks 1–64)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsSam Darnold

    Sam Darnold to move — “traded for a first-round pick; a second plus is the minimum”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.