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Connor J. Benintendi· Sep 16, 2026

Benintendi predicts Sam Darnold misses three more games with Drew Lock starting, and forecasts Seattle winning all three games — at Arizona, at Washington, and home vs. the Chargers — to reach 4-0 after Week 4.

“Overall record: 4-0”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

6 checkable claims — 3 score predictions, 1 availability call, 1 depth chart call and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 47.6 out of 100, against 48.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Where this call stands in the room

Drew Lock · 2026 season

18 calls from 14 pundits between 1 and 2. Connor J. Benintendi said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Connor J. Benintendi — 1the room — 18 calls from 14 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks 24 — Commanders 19

    “Week 3 - Seahawks at Washington Commanders Score Prediction: Seahawks 24, Commanders 19”

    Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 96.35-103.78 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    31-33
    skill:
    -103.78
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    96.35
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    5

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  • Seattle Seahawks 20 — Arizona Cardinals 16

    “Week 2 - Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals Score Prediction: Seahawks 20, Cardinals 16”

    Close · 52Scored 52.38a naive guess scored 0+101.62 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    31-7
    skill:
    101.62
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    52.38
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    -0.52
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks to finish with 4 wins

    “Overall record: 4-0”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Seattle Seahawks 28 — Chargers 13

    “Week 4 - Los Angeles Chargers at Seahawks Score Prediction: Seahawks 28, Chargers 13”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • “For the sake of prediction, we will theorize that Darnold misses three more games (another reason the Seahawks may have left him off IR) and Lock remains the starter.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart

    “we will theorize that Darnold misses three more games ... and Lock remains the starter”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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What others said about the same people

More score predictions

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