Pete Prisco· Oct 21, 2026
Prisco picked every Week 7 game with a final score, including a Patriots road upset of the Bears, a Bengals upset in Baltimore, a one-point Lions win over Green Bay and a Cowboys win in Philadelphia.
“I think the Patriots have the better defense and that will be the difference.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
14 checkable claims — 14 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 14 have settled, averaging 58.2 out of 100, against 42.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Patriots at Bears 23 calls
- Steelers at Saints 24 calls
- Giants at Texans 13 calls
- Browns at Titans 12 calls
- Dolphins at Jets 62 calls
- Bengals at Ravens 15 calls
- 49ers at Falcons 26 calls
- Colts at Vikings 19 calls
- Buccaneers at Panthers 11 calls
- Broncos at Cardinals 13 calls
- Rams at Raiders 24 calls
- Packers at Lions 21 calls
- Chiefs at Seahawks 23 calls
- Cowboys at Eagles 31 calls
14 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsDallas CowboysOct 21, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 21 — Eagles 20
“Pick: Cowboys 21, Eagles 20”
Close · 62Scored 61.9a naive guess scored 8.32+89.48 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 38-21
- skill:
- 89.48
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 61.9
- baseline:
- 8.32
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.5
- predicted margin:
- 1
Closing line (Oct 26): Cowboys by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 21–20 calls a closer game (Cowboys by 1) and fewer points (41).
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsOct 21, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 23 — Seahawks 17
“Pick: Chiefs 23, Seahawks 17”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 58.69-58.25 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 3-20
- skill:
- −58.25
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 23.81
- baseline:
- 58.69
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.35
- predicted margin:
- 6
Closing line (Oct 25): Seahawks by 3, total 43.5 · this 23–17 calls a Chiefs win (by 6; the line gave the Chiefs 41%) and fewer points (40).
- Score PredictionsDenver BroncosOct 21, 2026
Denver Broncos 24 — Cardinals 21
“Pick: Broncos 24, Cardinals 21”
Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 15.84+96.82 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-16
- skill:
- 96.82
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 73.81
- baseline:
- 15.84
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.35
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 25): Broncos by 4.5, total 44.5 · this 24–21 calls a closer game (Broncos by 3) and more points (45).
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsOct 21, 2026
Detroit Lions 34 — Packers 33
“Pick: Lions 34, Packers 33”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 92.03+5.36 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 17-20
- skill:
- 5.36
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 92.03
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.35
- predicted margin:
- 1
Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 34–33 calls a closer game (Lions by 1) and more points (67).
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsOct 21, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 28 — Raiders 27
“Pick: Rams 28, Raiders 27”
Close · 69Scored 69.05a naive guess scored 15.84+88.86 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 35-21
- skill:
- 88.86
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 69.05
- baseline:
- 15.84
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.35
- predicted margin:
- 1
Closing line (Oct 25): Rams by 3.5, total 49.5 · this 28–27 calls a closer game (Rams by 1) and more points (55).
- Score PredictionsHouston TexansOct 21, 2026
Houston Texans 27 — Giants 23
“Pick: Texans 27, Giants 23”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 35.04+17.04 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-21
- skill:
- 17.04
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 45.24
- baseline:
- 35.04
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Oct 25): Texans by 10, total 42.5 · this 27–23 calls a closer game (Texans by 4) and more points (50).
- Score PredictionsMinnesota VikingsOct 21, 2026
Minnesota Vikings 21 — Colts 18
“Pick: Vikings 21, Colts 18”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 85.04+13.06 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 10-16
- skill:
- 13.06
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 85.04
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 25): Vikings by 6.5, total 41.5 · this 21–18 calls a closer game (Vikings by 3) and fewer points (39).
- Score PredictionsCarolina PanthersOct 21, 2026
Carolina Panthers 24 — Bucs 23
“Pick: Panthers 24, Bucs 23”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 43-13
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 30
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 1
Closing line (Oct 25): Panthers by 3, total 44.5 · this 24–23 calls a closer game (Panthers by 1) and more points (47).
- Score PredictionsPittsburgh SteelersOct 21, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers 27 — Saints 26
“Pick: Steelers 27, Saints 26”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 35.04+88.61 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 16-10
- skill:
- 88.61
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 88.1
- baseline:
- 35.04
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 1
Closing line (Oct 25): Steelers by 3, total 43.5 · this 27–26 calls a closer game (Steelers by 1) and more points (53).
- Score PredictionsCleveland BrownsOct 21, 2026
Cleveland Browns 17 — Titans 16
“Pick: Browns 17, Titans 16”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 42.18+88.61 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-24
- skill:
- 88.61
- they picked:
- CLE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 42.18
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 1
Closing line (Oct 25): Browns by 1.5, total 36.5 · this 17–16 calls a closer game (Browns by 1) and fewer points (33).
- Score PredictionsCincinnati BengalsOct 21, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 24 — Ravens 23
“Pick: Bengals 24, Ravens 23”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+83.5 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 35-13
- skill:
- 83.5
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 22
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 1
Closing line (Oct 25): Bengals by 3, total 46.5 · this 24–23 calls a closer game (Bengals by 1) and more points (47).
- Score PredictionsNew York JetsOct 21, 2026
New York Jets 19 — Dolphins 17
“Pick: Jets 19, Dolphins 17”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 42.18+9.08 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 28-25
- skill:
- 9.08
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 47.62
- baseline:
- 42.18
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 2
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5, total 39.5 · this 19–17 calls a closer game (Jets by 2) and fewer points (36).
- Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersOct 21, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 30 — Falcons 28
“Pick: 49ers 30, Falcons 28”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 77.89-74.42 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-29
- skill:
- −74.42
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 33.33
- baseline:
- 77.89
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 2
Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5, total 49.5 · this 30–28 calls a closer game (49ers by 2) and more points (58).
- Score PredictionsNew England PatriotsOct 21, 2026
New England Patriots 28 — Bears 27
“Pick: Patriots 28, Bears 27”
Miss · 38Scored 38.1a naive guess scored 86.37-80.62 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-30
- skill:
- −80.62
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 38.1
- baseline:
- 86.37
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 0.28
- predicted margin:
- 1
Closing line (Oct 22): Bears by 3, total 50.5 · this 28–27 calls a Patriots win (by 1; the line gave the Patriots 42%) and more points (55).
What others said about the same people
- Christian BooherRoster Spot Calls · Anthony LucasMiss · 0Booher previews the Lions' Week 9 trip to Miami, predicting Derrick Barnes takes over as the green-dot linebacker in Jack Campbell's absence, Juice Scruggs starts at center, and boldly forecasting Detroit's first defensive touchdown of the season on an Aidan Hutchinson strip-sack recovered and returned by Barnes.
- Jared KochGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansHit · 100Koch predicts the Texans will beat the winless Chargers on the road in Week 9 by at least 10 points, with Houston's defense forcing a couple of turnovers to set up a multiple-score win.
- Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · New England PatriotsMiss · 14Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said he would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11.
- Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched his Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.
- Eric ManginiGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Randy GurziScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 93Gurzi expects Seattle to win comfortably again with Drew Lock starting, predicting a 27-10 Seahawks victory.
- Bryan DeArdoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
- Randy GurziScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 93Predicts Seattle runs away with the game, 27-10 over Arizona.
- Russell BaxterScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 79Predicts the Seahawks beat the Cardinals 26-21 in Week 9, with Seattle's pass rush making Gardner Minshew uncomfortable.
- Michael HanichScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 81Predicts a 24-18 Seahawks victory, with Drew Lock steadying the offense and the running game improving.