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JP Acosta#40 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 2, 2026

Acosta gave draft ranges for combine risers — Nussmeier in the third round, Kenyon Sadiq in round one, Chris Johnson in round two — and made picks 2, 4, 6 and every other selection in a post-combine first-round mock draft.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast)Hear the original

9 of 20picks landed9 hits · 7 close calls · 4 misses · 6 waiting
85.54The orderagainst a shuffled mock’s 50
+35.54Skillthe mock as a whole
67.2Per pickaverage, out of 100
#40JP Acosta’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What JP Acosta said

I think the third round is where about is about where I draft him.
JP Acosta, the lead quote
The episode
Biggest Draft RISERS From The Combine + NEW 2026 NFL Mock Draft | Full 1st Round
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMar 2
  2. GradedOct 1

Box score, round by round

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Round 18620
Picks 0–01126
All9746

How the mock scored

26 checkable claims — 26 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 38 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

20 of 26 have settled so far, averaging 67.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Mock against the draft

mock pick 132 →132laterUDFA
Across: where the mock put each player. Down: where the player went, with undrafted players (UDFA) on the bottom row. The shaded band is where a pick earns credit, within 32 picks. Squares landed, half-squares were close and slashes missed.

The mock as a whole

85.54this mock’s order50a shuffled mock35.54better than naive1difficulty+35.54skill

The skill comes from how well the whole mock ordered the draft, so it is not any one pick’s score minus 50.

Every pick’s score

0a pick’s naive guess: 50100

Think a pick here is graded wrong? Tell us which.

Draft board

HitCloseMissWaiting
Round 1 · picks 1–328 hits · 6 close calls · 2 missesShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
2NYJArvell Reeselinebacker588
4TENRueben Bainedge1562
6CLEMonroe Freelingleft tackle1957
8NOJeremiyah Loverunning back381
10CINCaleb Downssafety1196
12DALMansoor Delanecornerback677
14BALOlaivavega Ioaneinterior offensive lineman14100
16NYJMakai Lemonwide receiver2084
18MINCaleb Banksdefensive tackle18100
20DALC.J. Allenlinebacker5324
22LACKeldric Faulkedge3168
24CLEK.C. Concepcionwide receiver24100
26BUFDillon Thienemansafety2596
28HOUBlake Millertackle1762
30DENCade McDonalddefensive tackleUDFA0
32SEADenzel Bostonwide receiver3974
Picks 0–01 hit · 1 close call · 2 misses · 6 waitingShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
0—Garrett Nussmeierquarterback2490
0—Kanye Savictight endUDFA0
0—Chris Johnsoncornerback2777
0—Jacob Rodriguezlinebacker43100
0—Cole Paytonquarterback——
0—Deion Burkswide receiver——
0—Malachi Lawrenceedge——
0—Dillon Thienemansafety——
0—Dennis Suttonedge——
0—Chase Pizzantesguard——

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.