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Tyler Sullivan· Sep 28, 2026

Sullivan picked the Eagles to beat the Bears 26-20.

“Tyler Sullivan's pick: Eagles 26-20 over Bears”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 16.7 out of 100, against 54.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Philadelphia Eagles 26 — Bears 20

    “Tyler Sullivan's pick: Eagles 26-20 over Bears”

    Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 54.46-71.44 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    7-27
    skill:
    -71.44
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    16.67
    baseline:
    54.46
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    6

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