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Danny Parkins#75 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 8, 2026

Parkins picks the Bears to beat the Packers at home in bad weather, likes the Chargers to beat New England outright, and thinks the Bears could host an NFC Championship game. They also predict Drake Maye will be a top-ten QB for a decade, Lamar Jackson will remain a top-10 QB for about two of the next four years but won't win another MVP, and names Mike Macdonald as their Coach of the Year with Josh McDaniels for Assistant Coach of the Year.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 5calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled
30Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
40A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
#75Danny Parkins’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Danny Parkins said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I legitimately will be shocked if Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams are not the quarterback and coach of the Bears in twenty thirty five.
Danny Parkins, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)
The episode
Bears Built For The COLD, NFL Playoffs Are WIDE OPEN, Lamar Jackson’s Future, Ranking Top NFL Coaches
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 7
  2. GradedAug 5–17
  1. 1Chicago Bears to beat Packers“I'll take my chances with this Bears team. They're in the mix of teams that can win. / bad conditions should impact Caleb less than other players”
  2. 2Lamar Jackson to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards“two of the next four years, I think you have a top ten quarterback Lamar Jackson”
  3. 3Drake Maye to finish top 10 at his position, by an unstated measure“I will be shocked if he isn't a top ten quarterback for the next decade”
  4. 4Mike Macdonald to win Coach of the Year“McDonald's probably I think I think he deserves it this year, and that's over by guy Ben Johnson.”
  5. 5Los Angeles Chargers to beat New England“I think Herbert, like you do, is a superstar so I really like them to I think they're gonna win the game”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Chicago Bears to beat Packers1Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Lamar Jackson to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards2Positional FinishesFinished #23000
Drake Maye to finish top 10 at his position, by an unstated measure3Positional FinishesFinished #4500+50
Mike Macdonald to win Coach of the Year4Coach Award PicksMike Vrabel won000
Los Angeles Chargers to beat New England5Game Outcome Picks—0100−100
5 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled3040

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 2 positional finishes and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 30 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat Packers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 10): Packers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Bears 45%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    27-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Positional FinishesLamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens

    Lamar Jackson to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards

    What happenedFinished #23called #10 · by passing yards
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Lamar Jackson
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    QB
    ranked by:
    passing yards
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    6
    actual finish:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    predicted finish:
    10
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Positional FinishesDrake MayeNew England Patriots

    Drake Maye to finish top 10 at his position, by an unstated measure

    What happenedFinished #4called #10 · by passing yards
    50Close · naive 0
    50this call0a naive guess50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Drake Maye
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    QB
    ranked by:
    passing yards
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    24
    actual finish:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    predicted finish:
    10
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Coach Award Picks

    Mike Macdonald to win Coach of the Year

    What happenedMike Vrabel woncalled Mike Macdonald
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    coach_of_the_year
    coach:
    Mike Macdonald
    naive:
    the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Mike Vrabel
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat New England

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill

    Closing line (Jan 11): Patriots by 3.5 · underdog pick, Chargers 36%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    3-16
    skill:
    −100
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    30naive 40

Who this take is about

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