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Matty LaneApr 24, 2026

Before the pick was announced, Lane predicted the Chiefs' trade-up to No. 6 in the 2026 draft was for edge Ruben Bayne, with Jordan Tyson as the next likeliest target. After the selection, they said Mansour Delaine walks in as the Chiefs' CB1 and can do everything Trent McDuffie did.

Said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 close call · 1 waiting
67.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Matty Lane said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
It's gonna be Ruben Bayne, probably followed by Jordan Tyson.
Matty Lane, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
BREAKING: Chiefs Trade Up to Pick No. 6 to Select LSU CB Mansoor Delane
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 23
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Rueben Bain to be picked at number 6“It's gonna be Ruben Bayne, probably followed by Jordan Tyson.”
  2. 2Mansoor Delane to be 1st on the depth chart“And he walks in as CB one. Now part of that is, you know, the the room is not great.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 61Mock Draft PicksWent 1567.7150—
Mansoor Delane to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 waiting67.750

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 67.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Rueben Bain · 2026 season · overall pick

7 calls from 5 pundits between 6 overall pick and 15 overall pick. Matty Lane said 6 overall pick. the room's median is 9 overall pick. what happened: 15 overall pick

Matty Lane — 6 overall pickthe room — 7 calls from 5 punditsmedian 9 overall pickwhat happened — 15 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
6They said
15What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksRueben BainKansas City Chiefs

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 6

    What happenedWent 15mocked at 6
    67.71Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    67.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    67.71
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsMansoor DelaneKansas City Chiefs

    Mansoor Delane to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.