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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 24, 2026

Nick Wright predicts the Chiefs take Ruben Bain Jr. at No. 9 overall, that Carnell Tate will be gone before pick nine, and that Fernando Mendoza will settle in as roughly the 12th-best quarterback in the NFL in their prime rather than an MVP candidate. They also gave a series of NBA playoff picks, including the Lakers winning their series with Houston, the Celtics beating Philadelphia in five, and the Nuggets and Celtics reaching the Finals.

Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 close call · 2 waiting
77.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 3Settled2 still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I believe Ruben Bain Junior is going to be the pick.
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
What's Wright - LeBron AMAZES again, Spurs HOPELESS without Wemby? + NFL Draft BOLD PREDICTIONS | Nick Wright NBA
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 24
  2. GradedAug 7
  1. 1Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9“I believe Ruben Bain Junior is going to be there. I think Rubyen Bain Junior is going to be the pick... He is the guy will have the Chiefs taking in the final mock draft I do.”
  2. 2Fernando Mendoza to finish top 12 at his position, by passing yards“I think, you know, he'll probably you know, in his prime, be you know, like the twelfth best quarterback in the NFL, which is solid”
  3. 3Carnell Tate to be picked “off the board before the ninth pick”“If Carnel Tate is there at nine, I believe they will take him. I do not think he will be there at nine.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 91Mock Draft PicksWent 1577.1150—
Fernando Mendoza to finish top 12 at his position, by passing yards2Positional Finishes————
Carnell Tate to be picked “off the board before the ninth pick”3Mock Draft Picks————
3 calls · 1 close call · 2 waiting77.150

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 77.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
9They said
15What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksRueben BainKansas City Chiefs

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9

    What happenedWent 15mocked at 9
    77.11Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Positional FinishesFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Fernando Mendoza to finish top 12 at his position, by passing yards

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksCarnell Tate

    Carnell Tate to be picked “off the board before the ninth pick”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.