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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 2, 2026

Rosenthal's three official Week 18 picks were the Broncos over the Chargers' backups, the Vikings over the Packers and the Jaguars over the Titans, with side leans toward the Texans, Bears, Dolphins, Browns and Eagles. They also predicted Clayton Tune, not Malik Willis, would start at quarterback for Green Bay.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

83Hit · out of 100
No. 3What happenedcalled No. 1 · by passing yards
91.67A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
83.33This callout of 100
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

I just think this is a team in Denver that is going to swarm.
Our reading: Clayton Tune to be 1st on the depth chart
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
NFL Week 18 Picks with Cynthia Frelund | Capitalizing on Teams Resting Starters
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 2
  2. GradedAug 5

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 83.3 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said
3What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Depth Chart CallsClayton TuneGreen Bay Packers

    Clayton Tune to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 3called No. 1 · by passing yards
    83.33Hit · naive 91.67
    83.33this call91.67a naive guess−8.34worse than naive1.06difficulty−8.83skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    GB
    skill:
    −8.83
    player:
    Clayton Tune
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    3
    difficulty:
    1.06
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.