Brian Peacock· Mar 24, 2026
Peacock laid out his two-round 2026 mock draft (pick-by-pick through the top 11 plus the 49ers' selections) and then extrapolated it to seven rounds for San Francisco, including a projected Trent Williams trade to Houston and a series of Day 2/Day 3 49ers picks.
“I wouldn't be shocked at all if after the first round, the forty niners draft an offensive tackle, kinda kinda like the McGlinchey thing, and then all of a sudden it's like, oh, guess what? The Houston Texans have traded for Trent Williams.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On 49ers (podcast) · read the original →
24 checkable claims — 21 mock draft picks, 2 depth chart calls and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 35 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
18 of 24 have settled so far, averaging 71.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Riley Nowakowski
- San Francisco 49ers
- Jaishawn Barham
- David Bailey
- Arizona Cardinals
- Sonny Styles
- Max Iheanachor
- Derek Moore
- Caleb Downs
- Washington Commanders
- Caleb Lomu
- Cleveland Browns
- Carnell Tate
- Mansoor Delane
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Francis Mauigoa
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Arvell Reese
- New York Jets
- Rueben Bain
- New Orleans Saints
- Jeremiyah Love
- Kenyon Sadiq
- Miami Dolphins
- Malachi Lawrence
- Chris Bell
- Fernando Mendoza
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Robert Jones
- Trent Williams
- Houston Texans
- Gabe Akas
- R Mason Thomas
- Brett Toth
- Charles Demings
24 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Riley Nowakowski to be picked “the seventh round range” (picks 217–257)
“here's a new one that hasn't shown up in any mods because I've never been able to draft in the seventh round range, Croc. Riley Nowakowski”
Miss · 13Scored 12.5 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.07 against a shuffle’s 50+44.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.07
- player:
- Riley Nowakowski
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 12.5
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 169
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 12.5
- predicted pick:
- the seventh round range (picks 217–257)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.07
Jaishawn Barham to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)
“come back with Jasean Barham. There's your edge rusher... Jaishawn Barham ended up being the pick here”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.07 against a shuffle’s 50+44.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.07
- player:
- Jaishawn Barham
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 92
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- third round (picks 65–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.07
- Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyArizona CardinalsMar 24, 2026
David Bailey to be picked at number 3
“David Bailey pass rusher to the Cardinals at three.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.07 against a shuffle’s 50+44.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.07
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.07
- Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesMar 24, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4
“I went four Sonny Styles, five with Jeremiah Love”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.07 against a shuffle’s 50+44.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.07
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.07
Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 27
“I picked 27 for the 40. It's been a common pick for me, Max Ahonetschor... Max Ohanaechor, still my pick in the first round.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Max Ahonetschor
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 27
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksDerek MooreMar 24, 2026
Derek Moore to be picked at number 59
“he actually ended up going the very next pick, 59”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Derek Moore
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 59
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsWashington CommandersMar 24, 2026
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7
“Caleb Downs to Washington at seven.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb LomuCleveland BrownsMar 24, 2026
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 24
“Then at 24, they come back and get an offensive tackle in Caleb Lomu in this mock draft.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Caleb Lomu
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 28
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 24
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateCleveland BrownsMar 24, 2026
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“I do like the combination of Carmel Tate wide receiver at six for the Browns”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksMansoor DelaneCincinnati BengalsMar 24, 2026
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 10
“Then Mansoor Lane corner at pick number 10 to the Cincinnati Bengals.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 9
“Francis Mawa, Noah, offensive tackle going to the Chiefs at pick number nine”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Francis Mauigoa
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York JetsMar 24, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“And Arbel Reese is one of those guys. I got him to the Jets at two.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksRueben BainNew Orleans SaintsMar 24, 2026
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8
“So I got Bayne going eight to the Saints”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksJeremiyah LoveMar 24, 2026
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5
“I went four Sonny Styles, five with Jeremiah Love”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqMiami DolphinsMar 24, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11
“I got an 11 to the Miami Dolphins who need a little bit of everything”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksMalachi LawrenceMar 24, 2026
Malachi Lawrence to be picked “gone in the first round” (picks 1–32)
“I had Malachi Lawrence, gone in the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Malachi Lawrence
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 23
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- gone in the first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksChris BellSan Francisco 49ersMar 24, 2026
Chris Bell to be picked at number 58
“And he was my pick here at at 58 in the second round for the San Francisco forty niners.”
Miss · 21Scored 21.02 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Chris Bell
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 21.02
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 94
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 21.02
- predicted pick:
- 58
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“right after Fernando Mendoza at pick one to the Raiders”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Depth Chart CallsRobert JonesSan Francisco 49ersMar 24, 2026
Robert Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“Robert Jones, starting experience, would seemingly have the leg up on Brett Toth... if the season started today, potentially, we're looking at Robert Jones”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Trent Williams to move to Houston Texans
“So what if the forty niners trade Trent Williams Croc after the first round after drafting an offensive tackle to the Houston Texans? They trade Trent Williams.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksGabe AkasMar 24, 2026
Gabe Akas to be picked “gone by 58”
“Gabe Akas, gone by 58.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksR Mason ThomasMar 24, 2026
R Mason Thomas to be picked “gone by 58”
“R Mason Thomas, gone by 58.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsBrett TothSan Francisco 49ersMar 24, 2026
Brett Toth to be 2nd on the depth chart
“I would imagine Brett Toth is probably viewed more as, like, the the Hennessy replacement, the the guard slash center backup”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Charles Demings to be picked “round four”
“Came back with Charles Demings, small school quarterback in round four.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonMock Draft Picks · J.J. McCarthyMiss · 37Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Dillon ThienemanClose · 57Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.
- Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks · Olaivavega IoaneClose · 71He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks.