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Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
1–13 of 13
7 / 13
graded
6 still pending
I I think the house is kind of a done deal, and the question there is what the margin will be... But it's gonna be a Democratic house.
No. I don't think it's a done deal... I think it's more likely than not.
to try and persuade John Ossoff to run for president because he will be perceived as a guy who tamed this this state that is really a purple state, but to win big in Georgia
if I had to bet money, I actually think Hamilton is gonna win, partially because Marshall's so weak
So I I would put money now on al Said for all his problems against Rogers... I think Trump is the stronger magnetic force, and net net, it'll be enough for him to win.
And I think the same dynamic is going on with Al Said... And guess what? Like Murphy said, like, I think he's gonna win.
I I think it it it is more likely than not that he wins Georgia and North Carolina.
Well, I'm probably with you, Mike. I'm probably with you about that, Mike.
Oh, I think she's gonna win. I will predict it with low to medium confidence now. I've gone from no confidence to low to medium.
I I think it it it is more likely than not that he wins Georgia and North Carolina.
I think she's definitely gonna win the popular vote.
And my gut is Trump has a ceiling, and it'll break to her... So if you... I had to bet, I'm to the point where I bet on her... It's the electoral college, of course. Yeah. But but only by a whisker.
So a week ago, I said I thought the election held today was Trump... But my gut now is that she's gear shift. And if you put a gun to my head and I couldn't wiggle away or get you to shoot Axelrod instead, I would predict her now.