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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
151–175 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Cleveland Browns to beat expectations
Cleveland Browns. Yeah. I believe they're gonna be no worse than second in the AFC North this year.
Bhayshul Tuten to be 1st on the depth chart
chose Bachel Toonton, who's Probably gonna be the starter. Not probably. He's gonna they've got a starting running back
The Giants are gonna have the most ferocious pass rush in 2026. / I don't think that's an overreaction.
Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart
I think Aaron Rodgers is coming back. And if Aaron Rodgers is coming back, he's gonna start all 17 games unless he gets hurt
The Giants are gonna have the most ferocious pass rush in 2026.
New Orleans Saints to pick “bottom half of the 2027 NFL draft”
Rich, the Saints won't be picking in the top half of next year's NFL. Top half won't be picking in the top half.
Drew Allar to be 1st on the depth chart
Drew Allard is gonna start the most games at quarterback for the Steelers next year.
A.J. Brown to move
We know that they are going to most likely trade, AJ Brown come June 1
Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level
They're gonna wish they had taken Ruben Bane or Mekhi Lehman last week. Like, come on, man. This wasted pick on Ty Simms.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
I I think it'll be Mendoza one and then none, and then love top five
Colonel Tate to be picked “not gonna be there at nine (i.e., picked before No. 9)”
And more and more I think about Colonel Tate, and if he drops to nine He's not he's no. He's not gonna be there. At nine? No. He's not gonna be there.
Jadarian Price to be picked “top of round two”
And, so will Jadarian Price, of of, of the the, the fighting Irish.
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
And if they miss the playoffs, that would be stunning. Don't you think, though, at the end of the day? ... They're they're really good, though.
Ty Simpson to be picked “top of round two”
I think at the end of the day, Simpson will be waiting for the top of round two.
Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart
Let's talk about Kirko going to the Raiders, presumably to start week one, and I think he's gonna succeed.
Ty Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart
Ty Simpson, though, is [going to start in week one], and he's gonna start more games this year than Fernando Mendoza.
Jordan Love to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
I I think it'll be Mendoza one and then none, and then love top five Yeah. And then none.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
We know Fernando Mendoza's going number one, probably not gonna start in week one.
George Pickens to move
I'm thinking, like, George Pickens. He's tagged. No. Somebody may make a move for him... I think one of these three guys gets the
Ty Simpson to be picked “Top 15. Top half of the first round.” (picks 1–15)
I think I think this kid can play, and I think he's gonna be drafted higher than everyone thinks. What is that? Top top of the and a top 15? Top 16? Top 15. Top half of the first round.
Tom Brady to finish top 5 at his position, by an unstated measure
Do you think Tom Brady, if if he played this year, is a top five quarterback?... Boom. Top five Tom Brady would be an MVP finalist.
Caleb Williams to win MVP
He's one of the guys when you're talking about who could be a breakthrough MVP type guy. Caleb, I think, is at the top of the list.
Bijan is your number one overall fantasy draft choice. I believe so.
Carolina Panthers to finish with ? wins
that should get them above 500 at the very least
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
Patriots have this first place schedule extremely difficult. Knock they're not gonna win 14 games. Let's let's just be honest about it. Maybe maybe 10.