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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
176–200 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
I think he's gonna be the starter for all 17. Oh. Two is gonna be the starting quarterback all year
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
AFC South. Alright. Alright. Jacksonville wins that division. They are meeting their potential finally.
Carolina Panthers to win the division
Love what the Carolina Panthers did. Yeah. They're gonna win the South next year.
Tennessee Titans to beat expectations
Titans are sneaky. Tight Titans are gonna shock some people. ... they have a chance to be this year's commanders or patriots.
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
Patriots have this first place schedule extremely difficult. Knock they're not gonna win 14 games. Let's let's just be honest about it. Maybe maybe 10.
Justin Jefferson to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving tds
He's gonna win the receiving Triple Crown next year. ... I'm the best receiver in the NFL.
Bijan is your number one overall fantasy draft choice. I believe so.
Carolina Panthers to finish with ? wins
that should get them above 500 at the very least
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
then then he's going to be the starter. He's gonna be the guy. ... is gonna beat out somebody like JJ McCarthy because of his rawness.
Miami Dolphins to make the playoffs
So the Dolphins, I think, could be maybe the second playoff team in that division, go on the road somewhere.
David Bailey to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Bailey Bailey goes in the top 10.
Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
had had all four guys going in the top 10... It had Tate at ten... I don't think this is an overreaction.
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Yoane, the, the guard the interior guard of of the, Penn State Nittany Lions, I think he goes in the top 10.
Arvell Reese to be picked “top five; at lowest No. 7” (picks 1–5)
Arvel Reese looks like RoboCop. He's not falling out of the top five. If he does, I think the commander's at seven. That is the lowest he's gonna go in this draft
Francis Mauigoa to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
I think Mau and Noah, the left tackle of, of Miami goes in the top 10.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Mendoza goes in the top 10.
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
Then you look at Sonny Styles and all those mocks of him being twelfth overall... it's up in smoke.
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
And I don't think he's falling out of the top 10.
Mike Evans to move
I'll say that's not an overreaction because if he's gonna go ring chase... I will buy that
Fernando Mendoza to record 2,900 passing yards
I'll just say sure. Why not?... I mean, those numbers are attainable.
Fernando Mendoza to record 18 passing tds
Fernando Mendoza is gonna have a better statistical rookie season than Tom Brady's 02/2001... 2,900 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, 12 picks.
Mike Evans to move
Doesn't seem like he's gonna be back in Tampa... He's gonna go to a contender.
Fernando Mendoza to record 2,900 passing yards
Fernando Mendoza is gonna have a better statistical rookie season than Tom Brady's 02/2001... That's 64% of completions, 2,900 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, 12 picks.
Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.