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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.29% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
901–925 of 3,546
1,899 / 3,546
graded
1,647 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
Baltimore, by the way, is going to be a new playoff team, too.
Houston Texans to win the division
So I have the Bills Ravens Texans Chargers winning their division
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
I have them winning the division. I think they're more talented than Kansas City
Detroit Lions to finish with 11–12 wins
I think the Lions probably win 11 or 12 games. / So do I.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I'll take them to win the division... So I have the Bills Ravens Texans Chargers winning their division
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart
I really like Fernando Mendoza. My guess is he starts somewhere, somewhere before Thanksgiving.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
Patriots, Bengals, Chiefs as wildcard.
This is my toughest call in the AFC. I'm going to go Colts over the Jags... So I, the Colts, Jaguars, coin flip... and the Titans for fourth.
I have them winning the division... Kansas City gets a slight edge to me. Raiders could be the best fourth Place team in football
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
Cincinnati, I have as a new playoff team. ... Patriots, Bengals, Chiefs as wildcard.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
The AFC North, I don't think this one's difficult. I'm going to go with Baltimore just because a lot of changes, but they have the deepest roster.
Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
It's his final year, my guess, as a pro.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I'll take them to win the division. ... So I have the Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers winning their division.
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
So I have the Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers winning their division.
the bills are the largest favorite ... I'll take them to win the division. New England's schedule is much tougher... The Jets in third... Dolphins are rebuilding... I'll pick them easily for fourth.
David Bailey to be 1st on the depth chart
David Bailey on the edge is going to start.
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
So I have the Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers winning their division. Patriots, Bengals, Chiefs as wildcard.
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
I do think, I'll give Kansas City credit, I think they get back to the playoffs. ... Patriots, Bengals, Chiefs as wildcard.
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
Baltimore, by the way, is going to be a new playoff team, too.
Houston Texans to win the division
So I have the Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers winning their division.
New York Jets to finish with 4–5 wins
Offensively, if Geno can be a C-plus quarterback, they should win four or five games.
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 11 wins
I have the Chargers, 11-6, with the worst offensive line in football.
I'm going to go with Baltimore... Cincinnati, I have as a new playoff team... Steelers... I think they'll be viable as a playoff team until about week 16, 17 or 18. Cleveland... They're just too young to win
Leonard Moore to be picked “top three of the NFL draft” (picks 1–3)
I think he could get selected in the top three of the NFL draft. That's how good he is on the outside.
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
I have the Chargers, 11-6, with the worst offensive line in football. ... I have them winning the division.