Carter Bahns#18 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 8, 2026

Bahns expects the Jaguars, who they call the better team in both of their upcoming London matchups, to sweep their two overseas games against the Eagles and Texans.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled

50Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2Games calledeveryone’s picks below

#18Carter Bahns’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Carter Bahns said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

This squad is more well-rounded than ever and looks poised to avenge last year's 35-7 loss in London with a pair of overseas wins.

Carter Bahns, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: CBS Sports
The piece: Super Bowl stock report for NFL Week 5: Jaguars enter peak form, Eagles trend toward rebuild
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 8
PlayedOct 11–18
GradedOct 11–18

1Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans“They should have a logistical advantage over the Eagles and Texans, and they are simply the better team in both matchups, too... looks poised to avenge last year's 35-7 loss in London with a pair of overseas wins.”
2Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles“They should have a logistical advantage over the Eagles and Texans, and they are simply the better team in both matchups, too... looks poised to avenge last year's 35-7 loss in London with a pair of overseas wins.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans¹	Game Outcome Picks	Texans 34–31	0	0	0
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles²	Game Outcome Picks	Jaguars 19–17	100	100	0
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled			50	50

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Game Outcome Picks Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans
What happenedTexans 34–31Texans at Jaguars
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.78difficulty0skill
How this was scored
won:
HOU
score:
34-31
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
JAX
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
14
Think this is wrong?
2Game Outcome Picks Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles
What happenedJaguars 19–17Eagles at Jaguars
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.78difficulty0skill
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 3 in 4 (76%).
How this was scored
won:
JAX
score:
17-19
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
JAX
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
14
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 50