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Carter Bahns#18 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 7, 2026

Bahns argues the Cardinals are increasingly likely to move on from Marvin Harrison Jr. and lays out three trade scenarios sending them to Houston (for a 2027 third-rounder), Las Vegas (Harrison plus a 2027 seventh for a 2027 third), or Indianapolis (for a 2027 fourth).

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 3Settled2 still waiting
#18Carter Bahns’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Carter Bahns said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
A fresh start in a new system might be in Harrison's best interest.
Carter Bahns, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Marvin Harrison Jr. trade packages: What Cardinals could get for former No. 4 overall pick
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 7
  2. GradedOct 11
  1. 1Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Houston Texans“Mock trade No. 1 Texans receive: Marvin Harrison Jr. Cardinals receive: 2027 third-round pick”
  2. 2Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Las Vegas Raiders“Mock trade No. 2 Raiders receive: Marvin Harrison Jr., 2027 seventh-round pick Cardinals receive: 2027 third-round pick”
  3. 3Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Indianapolis Colts“Mock trade No. 3 Colts receive: Marvin Harrison Jr. Cardinals receive: 2027 fourth-round pick”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Houston Texans1Trade and Signing Calls—1000+178
Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Las Vegas Raiders2Trade and Signing Calls————
Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Indianapolis Colts3Trade and Signing Calls————
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 waiting1000

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsMarvin Harrison Jr.Houston Texans

    Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Houston Texans

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.78difficulty+178skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    178
    player:
    Marvin Harrison Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    HOU
    was with:
    ARI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → HOU
    how he left:
    traded
    mechanism:
    traded
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.78
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsMarvin Harrison Jr.Las Vegas Raiders

    Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Las Vegas Raiders

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsMarvin Harrison Jr.Indianapolis Colts

    Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Indianapolis Colts

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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