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Carter Bahns#18 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 9, 2026

Bahns expects Jacksonville to handle Philadelphia in the London game with no upset in store.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Jaguars 19–17What happenedEagles at Jaguars
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#18Carter Bahns’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Carter Bahns said

The Jaguars are touchdown favorites over the Eagles in London, and nobody foresees any funny business in the international contest.
Our reading: Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Bucs embarrass Cowboys for their first win of 2026; Guardians force ALDS Game 5 vs. White Sox
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 9
  2. PlayedOct 11
  3. GradedOct 11

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles

    What happenedJaguars 19–17Eagles at Jaguars
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.78difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 3 in 4 (76%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    17-19
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14
    Think this is wrong?

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