Gregg Rosenthal

Gregg Rosenthal is an NFL analyst and podcast host who has been covering the league since 2012. Rosenthal hosts The NFL Daily Podcast, featuring a rotating lineup of NFL Media personalities, and the NFL Network podcast and TV show 40s and Free Agents: NFL Draft Season. Rosenthal has also co-hosted the Around the NFL Podcast and appeared on NFL GameDay View since 2019. The predictions here cover game outcomes, draft positioning, playoff berths, division winners, season win totals, player awards, depth charts and player movement. Teams include the Houston Texans, Los Angeles Chargers, New England Patriots, Seattle Seahawks, Detroit Lions, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys. Players named include Travis Hunter, Shedeur Sanders, Tee Higgins and Stefon Diggs.

Writes at Move the Sticks (podcast)

#39of 87 ranked NFL punditsEstablished record: 71 graded articles

21.48MissedTakes Scorevs a naive guess · 0 = no better

63.14%Accuracyhow often the calls landed

319Graded callsacross 71 articles

194Waitingnot graded yet

Every graded call, continued · page 3

HitCloseMissWaiting

319 graded calls in 72 articles, newest first — page 3 of 10. Every take from Gregg Rosenthal, including the ones still waiting →

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Apr 2, 2026
Rosenthal thinks Arvel Reese makes sense for the Jets at No. 2 overall and may well be their pick, and they expect both Manuel McNeil Warren and Dylan Thieneman — the safeties in the mix behind Caleb Downs — to be first-round selections.Mock Draft Picks · 3 calls
2 hits · 1 miss · 2 of 3 graded calls landed
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Mar 2, 2026

Rosenthal projected several combine standouts' draft slots — Colton Hood in the first round, Dillon Thieneman in the top 25, Jacoby Lane sneaking into Day 2, Kenyan Sadik as the first tight end off the board, Mike Washington as a possible RB3 of the class, Navy's Eli Heidenreich getting drafted, Taylen Green going to Denver in the fifth round — and predicted Minkah Fitzpatrick will be on a new team in 2026.Position Order Calls, Mock Draft Picks · 10 calls

4 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · 4 waiting · 4 of 6 graded calls landed

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Kenyon Sadiq to be 1st tight end off the board
“there's one it's going to Be Kenyan steck that's called on day one and then after that there's a lot of disagreement about tight end two”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 15.51+84.49 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 22 at random averages 15.51
skill:
84.49
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
15.51
position:
tight end
class size:
22
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Colton Hood to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“HOOD I think it is able to show up and solidify himself as as a first round pick with a with a workout like this”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Colton Hood
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
37
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
first round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Garrett Nussmeier to be picked “a third round pick” (picks 65–100)
“so now that he might be like a third round, PICK i like him as much as anyone else in this class other Than Mendoza”
Miss · 0Scored 0.16a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Garrett Nussmeier
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
0.16
baseline:
50
actual pick:
249
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0.16
predicted pick:
a third round pick (picks 65–100)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Taylen Green to be picked at number 176
“with the one hundred and seventy sixth pick of the fifth, round The Denver broncos Select Taylan Green, arkansas”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Taylen Green
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
182
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
one hundred and seventy sixth pick of the fifth round (picks 141–216)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Mike Washington to be 3rd running back off the board
“with a workout like, that he could BE rb three in this. Class”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 39.03+10.97 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 13 at random averages 39.03
skill:
10.97
player:
Mike Washington
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
50
baseline:
39.03
position:
running back
class size:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
5
predicted order:
3
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Dillon Thieneman to be picked “somewhere in the top twenty five picks” (picks 1–20)
“everyone's looking for one of these types of players AND i think he's gonna get taken somewhere in the top twenty five picks”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Dillon Thieneman
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
somewhere in the top twenty five picks (picks 1–20)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Feb 25, 2026

Rosenthal predicts a series of offseason outcomes: Braden Smith hits free agency with Jalen Travis replacing them, Tremaine Edmunds gets traded or cut and slots between 50-100 on their free agent list (below Quay Walker), Brandon Aubrey's deal lands around $9 million per year, Andy Dalton gets cut and reaches free agency, and Jeremiah Love tops 2,000 yards next season.Trade and Signing Calls, Roster Spot Calls, Mock Draft Picks, Depth Chart Calls · 9 calls

3 hits · 1 miss · 5 waiting · 3 of 4 graded calls landed

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Andy Dalton to move
“He's getting cut, is my takeaway ... we'll probably see Andy Dalton reach free agency.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
Andy Dalton
season:
2026
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
CAR
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
reported:
released (from PHI)
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
DeForest Buckner to be cut
“they expect to Forrest Buckner back by training camp from his injury, which means a he's not getting cut”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
−200
player:
DeForest Buckner
season:
2026
claimed:
he does not make the 53
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top ten” (picks 1–10)
“I don't think that's going to prevent them from taking a running back in the in the top ten.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top ten (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Jalen Travis to be 1st on the depth chart
“Steiken made it sound like they have an in house replacement ... So it sounds like they're going to let Braden Smith hit the market if you're looking for a right tackle.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
−8.33
player:
Jalen Travis
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
T
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
1
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Feb 10, 2026

Rosenthal gives their free agent wide receiver rankings in tiers, with George Pickens and Alec Pierce a tier above, then Rashid Shaheed, Mike Evans, Wan'Dale Robinson, Romeo Doubs and Jauan Jennings, then Deebo Samuel, Jalen Nailor, Jahan Dotson, Christian Kirk and Marquise Brown. They also predict A.J. Brown gets traded and DJ Moore gets traded or cut, and thinks Stefon Diggs returns to New England but is no longer a true No. 1 receiver.Fantasy Rankings, Trade and Signing Calls · 4 calls

3 hits · 1 waiting · 3 of 3 graded calls landed

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“It's George Pickens and Alec Pierce... Next next group you mentioned Rashid Shaheed, I've got him. I've got Mike Evans... I've got Wandell Robinson, Romeo Dobbs, and Juwan Jennings... I knocked Evo Samuel down to this tier... Jalen Naylor... Johan Dotson... Christian Kirk... Marquise Brown”
Hit · 84Scored 83.92a naive guess scored 50+33.92 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
33.92
placed:
12
season:
2025
players:
12
accuracy:
83.92
baseline:
50
by position:
WR 12: 83.92
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
A.J. Brown to move
“I would, if I had to guess, I think A J. Brown will get traded, although that one seems like a toss up.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
A.J. Brown
season:
2026
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
PHI
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
reported:
traded → NE (from PHI)
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
DJ Moore to move
“I even feel more confident that DJ Moore will get traded or cut.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
DJ Moore
season:
2026
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
CHI
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
reported:
traded → BUF (from CHI)
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Jan 23, 2026

Rosenthal picks the Patriots to beat the Broncos in a close, low-scoring AFC Championship in Denver (while liking Denver to cover the 4.5 points), takes the Seahawks over the Rams in a defensive NFC Championship they peg around 23-19, and forecasts a Patriots-Seahawks Super Bowl.Score Predictions, Conference Champions, Game Outcome Picks · 5 calls

5 hits · 5 of 5 graded calls landed

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Seattle Seahawks 23 — Rams 19
“I think it's like twenty three to nineteen something”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 95.3+4.7 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-31
skill:
4.7
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
95.3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Jan 25): Seahawks by 2.5, total 45.5 · this 23–19 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 4) and fewer points (42).
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl
“because the Patriots Seahawks. That's my prediction for the Super Bowl this year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champions:
NE, SEA
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
reached the Super Bowl:
yes
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl
“because the Patriots Seahawks. That's my prediction for the Super Bowl this year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champions:
NE, SEA
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
reached the Super Bowl:
yes
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to beat Broncos
“I think the Patriots are going to play nearer their best and then that results in a two or three point win. Like, I think that's kind of the outcome here.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
10-7
skill:
100
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Closing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 2 in 3 (64%).
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams
“And I am taking the Seahawks. I hate doing that, but this is my official one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
27-31
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Closing line (Jan 25): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 56%.
Think this grade is wrong?

Jan 7, 2026

Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta.Award Picks, Coach Award Picks, Trade and Signing Calls · 9 calls

5 hits · 4 misses · 5 of 9 graded calls landed

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Carson Schwesinger to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“He's doing it for one of the best defense in the league. So he's my choice too.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
skill:
100
player:
Carson Schwesinger
season:
2025
who won:
Carson Schwesinger
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Tetairoa McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“Let's go offensive Rookie of the Year. I've already kind of made said my piece on this one, which was Tetero McMillan”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
skill:
100
player:
Tetairoa McMillan
season:
2025
who won:
Tetairoa McMillan
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year
“everyone just knows obvious Miles Garrett is going to win the award, So I think we all probably would agree with that”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
skill:
100
player:
Myles Garrett
season:
2025
who won:
Myles Garrett
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Zack Streef to win Assistant Coach of the Year
“I'm gonna go with Broncos offensive line code Zack Streef ... so I'm gonna go streat first”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
assistant_coach_of_the_year
coach:
Zack Streef
naive:
we hold no 2024 winner, so the naive pick scored 0
skill:
0
season:
2025
who won:
Josh McDaniels
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons
“it just makes it easier for them to cut him before the start of the season without as much salary cap pain. So it sounds like he'll be cut”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
Kirk Cousins
season:
2026
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
ATL
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
reported:
traded (from LV)
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mike McDonald to win Coach of the Year
“I'm going to stick with where I was at, which was McDonald one, Kyle Shanahan two, and Ben Johnson three.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Mike Macdonald
naive:
the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
skill:
0
season:
2025
who won:
Mike Vrabel
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Bijan Robinson to win Offensive Player of the Year
“I have Jon Robinson as my number one because to me, it's just best player in the ... So Bijon gets the Offensive Player of the Year”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Bijan Robinson
season:
2025
who won:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Matthew Stafford to win MVP
“But the TV analysts are like my dear friend Matthew Award and that is why I think he's gonna get Matt staff”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
100
player:
Matthew Stafford
season:
2025
who won:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Drake Maye to win MVP
“stats guys say, it's May by a mile ... But to me, it's like the running that kind of puts it over the top ... Would be Stafford's second.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Drake Maye
season:
2025
who won:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?