Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 3, 2026

Rosenthal picked the Patriots to beat the Seahawks straight up in Super Bowl 60, giving a final score of 27-26, while admitting they felt better about the point spread than the outright win.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · all settled

32.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

8.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I didn't give a score twenty seven to twenty six Patriots.

Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode: Super Bowl Picks with Cynthia Frelund + Hall of Fame Snubs
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidFeb 3
GradedAug 5

1New England Patriots 27 — Seahawks 26“I didn't give a score twenty seven to twenty six Patriots. I am having them win straight up? Why not?”
2New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl“twenty seven to twenty six Patriots. I am having them win straight up?”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
New England Patriots 27 — Seahawks 26¹	Score Predictions	—	14.29	16.73	−2.45
New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl²	Super Bowl Picks	SEA won it	50	0	+50
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled			32.1	8.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 32.1 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions New England Patriots
New England Patriots 27 — Seahawks 26
VerdictMiss
14.29Miss · naive 16.73
14.29this call16.73a naive guess−2.44worse than naive1difficulty−2.45skill
Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 27–26 calls a Patriots win (by 1; the line gave the Patriots about 1 in 3 (32%)) and more points (53).
How this was scored
score:
29-13
skill:
−2.45
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
14.29
baseline:
16.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
1
Think this is wrong?
2Super Bowl Picks New England Patriots
New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked NE
50Close · naive 0
50this call0a naive guess50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
How this was scored
skill:
50
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
32.1naive 8.4