Skip to main content

Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 10, 2026

Rosenthal gives their free agent wide receiver rankings in tiers, with George Pickens and Alec Pierce a tier above, then Rashid Shaheed, Mike Evans, Wan'Dale Robinson, Romeo Doubs and Jauan Jennings, then Deebo Samuel, Jalen Nailor, Jahan Dotson, Christian Kirk and Marquise Brown. They also predict A.J. Brown gets traded and DJ Moore gets traded or cut, and thinks Stefon Diggs returns to New England but is no longer a true No. 1 receiver.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · 1 waiting
94.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
16.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 4Settled1 still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I would, if I had to guess, I think A J. Brown will get traded
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
40s and Free Agents: Free Agent WR Rankings and What's Next for Patriots, Seahawks?
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 10
  2. GradedAug 5–Oct 18
  1. 1DJ Moore to move“I even feel more confident that DJ Moore will get traded or cut.”
  2. 2A.J. Brown to move“I would, if I had to guess, I think A J. Brown will get traded, although that one seems like a toss up.”
  3. 3Fantasy Rankings“It's George Pickens and Alec Pierce... Next next group you mentioned Rashid Shaheed, I've got him. I've got Mike Evans... I've got Wandell Robinson, Romeo Dobbs, and Juwan Jennings... I knocked Evo Samuel down to this tier... Jalen Naylor... Johan Dotson... Christian Kirk... Marquise Brown”
  4. 4Stefon Diggs: a roster call with no direction stated“I think I think they will keep them because I think they like what he added to the team.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
DJ Moore to move1Trade and Signing Calls—1000+200
A.J. Brown to move2Trade and Signing Calls—1000+200
“It's George Pickens and Alec Pierce... Next next group you…”3Fantasy Rankings—83.9250+33.92
Stefon Diggs: a roster call with no direction stated4Roster Spot Calls————
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting94.616.7

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 94.6 out of 100, against 16.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    DJ Moore
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    CHI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → BUF (from CHI)
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    A.J. Brown
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    PHI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → NE (from PHI)
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Fantasy Rankings

    “It's George Pickens and Alec Pierce... Next next group you mentioned Rashid Shaheed, I've got him. I've got Mike Evans... I've got Wandell Robinson, Romeo Dobbs, and Juwan Jennings... I knocked Evo Samuel down to this tier... Jalen Naylor... Johan Dotson... Christian Kirk... Marquise Brown”

    VerdictHit
    83.92Hit · naive 50
    83.92this call50a naive guess33.92better than naive1difficulty+33.92skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    33.92
    placed:
    12
    season:
    2025
    players:
    12
    accuracy:
    83.92
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    WR 12: 83.92
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Roster Spot CallsStefon DiggsNew England Patriots

    Stefon Diggs: a roster call with no direction stated

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    94.6naive 16.7

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.