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Gregg Rosenthal· Mar 2, 2026

Rosenthal projected several combine standouts' draft slots — Colton Hood in the first round, Dillon Thieneman in the top 25, Jacoby Lane sneaking into Day 2, Kenyan Sadik as the first tight end off the board, Mike Washington as a possible RB3 of the class, Navy's Eli Heidenreich getting drafted, Taylen Green going to Denver in the fifth round — and predicted Minkah Fitzpatrick will be on a new team in 2026.

“I think he's gonna get taken somewhere in the top twenty five picks.”

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

10 checkable claims — 7 mock draft picks, 2 position order calls and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

6 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 68.5 out of 100, against 42.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
one hundred and seventy sixth pick of the fifth round (picks 141–216)They said
182What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

10 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksTaylen GreenMar 2, 2026

    Taylen Green to be picked at number 176

    “with the one hundred and seventy sixth pick of the fifth, round The Denver broncos Select Taylan Green, arkansas”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Taylen Green
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    182
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    one hundred and seventy sixth pick of the fifth round (picks 141–216)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksGarrett NussmeierMar 2, 2026

    Garrett Nussmeier to be picked “a third round pick” (picks 65–100)

    “so now that he might be like a third round, PICK i like him as much as anyone else in this class other Than Mendoza”

    Miss · 0Scored 0.16a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Garrett Nussmeier
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.16
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    249
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.16
    predicted pick:
    a third round pick (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksDillon ThienemanMar 2, 2026

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked “somewhere in the top twenty five picks” (picks 1–20)

    “everyone's looking for one of these types of players AND i think he's gonna get taken somewhere in the top twenty five picks”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Dillon Thieneman
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    somewhere in the top twenty five picks (picks 1–20)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksColton HoodTennessee TitansMar 2, 2026

    Colton Hood to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    “HOOD I think it is able to show up and solidify himself as as a first round pick with a with a workout like this”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Colton Hood
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    37
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    first round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Position Order CallsKenyon SadiqMar 2, 2026

    Kenyon Sadiq to be 1st tight end off the board

    “there's one it's going to Be Kenyan steck that's called on day one and then after that there's a lot of disagreement about tight end two”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 15.51+84.49 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 22 at random averages 15.51
    skill:
    84.49
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    15.51
    position:
    tight end
    class size:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Position Order CallsMike WashingtonMar 2, 2026

    Mike Washington to be 3rd running back off the board

    “with a workout like, that he could BE rb three in this. Class”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 39.03+10.97 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 13 at random averages 39.03
    skill:
    10.97
    player:
    Mike Washington
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    39.03
    position:
    running back
    class size:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    5
    predicted order:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trade and Signing CallsMinkah FitzpatrickMar 2, 2026

    Minkah Fitzpatrick to move

    “BUT i think we're gonna be Seeing Minka fitzpatrick on a different team in twenty twenty six”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksJa'Kobi LaneMar 2, 2026

    Ja'Kobi Lane to be picked “a little higher into day two”

    “you mentioned how Jacobi Lane, the USC kid, you know, had a good day and he was looked at as maybe more of a third round pick, and now maybe like he sneaks up a little higher into day two”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksEli HeidenreichMar 2, 2026

    Eli Heidenreich to be picked “gonna get drafted”

    “I think that dude is gonna get drafted if nothing. Else and you don't see that too often out of maybe.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksRobert Spears-JenningsMar 2, 2026

    Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked “a day three pick”

    “maybe he's A day three, pick like we'll see it has a big. Day”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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