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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 27, 2026

Rosenthal says Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza will be the No. 1 overall pick, suggests Sonny Styles has now entered the top-five discussion (with five possibly being their floor), and floats the Jets choosing between Styles, Rvel Reese and David Bailey at No. 2.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 1 waiting
95.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So you know, Mendoza's Fernando Mendoz is going to be the number one pick.
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Styles and Reese Shine at Combine, Latest Trade Rumors, and Dan Morgan and Dave Canales Join the Show
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 27
  2. GradedAug 5–14
  1. 1Sonny Styles to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)“is this guy a top five pick? Is five even gonna be like the floor for him”
  2. 2Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“Mendoza's Fernando Mendoz is going to be the number one pick”
  3. 3Jacob Rodriguez to be picked “kind of a late too, he might have pushed himself up”“A guy maybe believed to be kind of a late too, he might have pushed himself up”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Sonny Styles to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)1Mock Draft PicksWent 791.750—
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 12Mock Draft PicksWent 110050—
Jacob Rodriguez to be picked “kind of a late too, he might have pushed himself up”3Mock Draft Picks————
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 waiting95.950

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 95.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Fernando Mendoza · 2025 season · overall pick

17 calls from 13 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Gregg Rosenthal said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick

Gregg Rosenthal — 1 overall pickthe room — 17 calls from 13 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top five pick (picks 1–5)They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksSonny Styles

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)

    What happenedWent 7
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    top five pick (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksFernando Mendoza

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksJacob Rodriguez

    Jacob Rodriguez to be picked “kind of a late too, he might have pushed himself up”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    95.9naive 50

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

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