2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election
Governors · November 3, 2026 · not yet held
The ballot
- Colt Shelby (Libertarian)—
- Fredrick Love (Democratic)—
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders (Republican, incumbent)—
Beside the pundits
Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.
The market · Polymarket · October 3, 2026
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders97¢
- Fredrick Love3¢
A price in cents is the market's probability. Prices move; this is the day's close as we read it.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders2 picks
Every claim about this race (2)
Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.
Andrew Walworth: Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins AR governorship (2026)
Race Winners · Sep 29, 2026 · 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election · the take
PendingTom Bevan: Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins AR governorship (2026)
Race Winners · Sep 29, 2026 · 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election · the take
Pending