2026 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 5
House · November 3, 2026 · called
The ballot
The race is called; the shares are final once the result is certified.
- Cooke Harvey (Independent)—
- John McGuire (Republican, incumbent)Won—
- Tom Perriello (Democratic)—
John McGuire by — in the general · held by the Republican party going in · source: wikipedia-2026
The field, week by week
Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- John McGuire3 picks · won
Every claim about this race (3)
Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.
Chuck Todd: John McGuire wins VA-05 House seat (2026) — “probably stays Republican”
Race Winners · Oct 14, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 5 · the take
Hit · 100Chuck Todd: John McGuire wins VA-05 House seat (2026)
Race Winners · Oct 14, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 5 · the take
Hit · 100Kyle Kondik: John McGuire wins VA-05 House seat (2026) — “Leans Republican”
Race Winners · Sep 29, 2026 · 2026 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 5 · the take
Hit · 100
More 2026 races
- 2026 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 2 · 5 calls
- 2026 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 1 · 4 calls
- 2026 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 7 · 1 call
- 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia
- 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan · 59 calls
- 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas · 58 calls
- 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina · 41 calls
- 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine · 36 calls