TJ Jefferson#66 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 4, 2025
Jefferson picks Washington to win the NFC East with the Giants last, and takes the Chiefs to beat the Packers in Super Bowl 60.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original
What TJ Jefferson said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI got the Eagles at two, and I got the Washington football team winning this division.
- Where it was said
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
- The episode
- Hour 3: Kurt Warner on Rodgers/Steelers & Year-2 QBs, plus Super Bowl Predictions!
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 4, 2025
- GradedAug 13–17, 2026
- 1Washington Commanders to win the division“I got the Washington football team winning this division.”
- 2Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl“So I'm going to pick the Kansas City Chiefs until further notice to represent the AFC.”
- 3Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl“I think Jordan Love, along with our boy, Matthew Golden Yep. Is gonna lead the Packers to the promised land, to the Super Bowl”
- 4Power Rankings“I got the Giants fourth. I'm putting the Cowboys third. I got the Eagles at two, and I got the Washington football team winning this division.”
- 5Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl“They're gonna raise another banner and have another ring to the Chiefs Kingdom.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders to win the division1 | Division Winners | — | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl2 | Conference Champions | NE and SEA won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl3 | Conference Champions | NE and SEA won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| “I got the Giants fourth. I'm putting the Cowboys third. I got…”4 | Power Rankings | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl5 | Super Bowl Picks | SEA won it | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 calls · 1 hit · 4 misses · all settled | 20 | 40 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive5 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 division winner, 1 power ranking and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 20 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Division WinnersWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders to win the division
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −200
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
2Conference ChampionsKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked KC0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
3Conference ChampionsGreen Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked GB0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
4Power RankingsWashington Commanders
“I got the Giants fourth. I'm putting the Cowboys third. I got the Eagles at two, and I got the Washington football team winning this division.”
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
5Super Bowl PicksKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked KC0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
20naive 40
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Damonza Byrd · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points.Nick Wright · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.Nick Wright · Conference Champions · Denver Broncos · Close 50
Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.AJ Hawk · Conference Champions · Los Angeles Rams · Close 50
Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC they stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.Derek Murphy · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.