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Tony GonzalezFeb 7, 2026

Gonzalez picks Seattle to beat New England in the Super Bowl, possibly in a blowout, arguing Seattle's defense is the best they saw and Drake Maye will struggle. They also call Trey McBride the best tight end in the league right now.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
45.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Tony Gonzalez said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So Seattle's gonna win this game. I think. I think it might be a runaway.
Tony Gonzalez, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
Carson Schwesinger, Tony Gonzalez & Damar Hamlin Discuss the NFL, Super Bowl Picks & More
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 6
  2. GradedAug 7
  1. 1Trey McBride to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards“Trey is is the best tight in the league right now”
  2. 2Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“So Seattle's gonna win this game. I think. I think it might be a runaway. I don't know if it'll be that close.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Trey McBride to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards1Positional FinishesFinished #110091.67+8.33
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl2Super Bowl PicksSEA won it1000+100
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled10045.8

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 positional finish and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 45.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Positional FinishesTrey McBrideArizona Cardinals

    Trey McBride to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards

    What happenedFinished #1called #1 · by receiving yards
    100Hit · naive 91.67
    100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive1difficulty+8.33skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    8.33
    player:
    Trey McBride
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    TE
    ranked by:
    receiving yards
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    2
    actual finish:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    predicted finish:
    1
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Super Bowl PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 45.8

Others on the same people

More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.