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Derek Brown#12 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 25, 2026

Brown says they are lower than consensus on Lamar Jackson and will not draft them in 2026 unless they slip well past their current ADP, arguing the price bakes in a QB1 finish that is far from certain.

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

Waitinggraded once the result is in

What Derek Brown said

I won’t discourage anyone for taking the swing on Jackson in any draft, but I won’t be in 2026 unless he slips quite far past his current ADP.
Our reading: Lamar Jackson to fall short of his draft cost (his current ADP)
Where it was published
FantasyPros
The piece
Fantasy Football: The Case Against Lamar Jackson (2026)
The original
Read the original

How the call scored

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

Nothing to score yet: this grades once the result is in.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Fantasy Bust CallsLamar Jackson

    Lamar Jackson to fall short of his draft cost (his current ADP)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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