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Bruce FeldmanJan 15, 2025

Feldman said Ohio State would be a sizable favorite over Notre Dame in the national championship game and suggested Ohio State could rush for 250 yards or throw for 300 (or both). They also predicted Quinn Ewers could land as a second-to-fourth-round NFL pick and expects Arch Manning to be a major 2025 storyline.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
50.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Bruce Feldman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I do think it would be a sizable upset if Notre Dame would win this game.
Bruce Feldman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Super Bowl Matchups Power Rankings
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 15, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–18, 2026
  1. 1Quinn Ewers to be picked “a second or third round pick” (picks 33–102)“I wouldn't be surprised if some somebody got word to them that, like, hey. You can be a second or third round pick.”
  2. 2Cam Ward to be picked “a top five pick” (picks 1–5)“And a lot of people think he'll be a top five pick.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Quinn Ewers to be picked “a second or third round pick” (picks 33–102)1Mock Draft PicksWent 2310.3750—
Cam Ward to be picked “a top five pick” (picks 1–5)2Mock Draft PicksWent 110050—
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled50.250

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 50.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
a second or third round pick (picks 33–102)They said
231What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksQuinn Ewers

    Quinn Ewers to be picked “a second or third round pick” (picks 33–102)

    What happenedWent 231
    0.37Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Quinn Ewers
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.37
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    231
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.37
    predicted pick:
    a second or third round pick (picks 33–102)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksCam WardMiami Dolphins

    Cam Ward to be picked “a top five pick” (picks 1–5)

    What happenedWent 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    a top five pick (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    50.2naive 50

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.