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Tyler Sullivan#27 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 26, 2026

Sullivan picked the Cowboys over the Eagles, 27-17.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

83Hit · out of 100

Cowboys 38–21What happenedcalled Cowboys by 10 · won by 17

8.32A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

83.33This callout of 100

#27Tyler Sullivan’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tyler Sullivan said

Tyler Sullivan's pick: Cowboys 27-17 over Eagles

Our reading: Dallas Cowboys 27 — Eagles 17

Where it was published: CBS Sports
The piece: Pick Six: 10 crazy stats from NFL's Week 7, plus Cowboys-Eagles picks for Monday night
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 26
PlayedOct 26
GradedOct 27

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 83.3 out of 100, against 8.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Score Predictions Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys 27 — Eagles 17
What happenedCowboys 38–21called Cowboys by 10 · won by 17
83.33Hit · naive 8.32
83.33this call8.32a naive guess75.01better than naive1.67difficulty+125.27skill
Closing line (Oct 26): Cowboys by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 10) and more points (44).
How this was scored
score:
38-21
skill:
125.27
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
8.32
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.5
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Cowboys at EaglesCowboys 38Eagles 2131 calls →

Who this take is about

Dallas Cowboys

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.

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