Skip to main content

Jack FosterOct 22, 2026

In the week 7 forecast, they took the 49ers to win on the road at Atlanta and expected Lamar Jackson back for the Ravens against Cincinnati.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Jack Foster said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But you mentioned we'll be a desperate team, but I actually like the 40 niners on the road in this one.
Jack Foster, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
Top 5 SURPRISES & ADDITIONS Through First Six Weeks
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidOct 22
  2. PlayedOct 25
  3. GradedOct 25
  1. 1San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta Falcons“I actually like the 40 niners on the road in this one. Okay. It's a field goal spread.”
  2. 2Availability Calls“Let's move on to Bengals Ravens... the three and two Bengals coming off a bye against Baltimore coming off a loss. Lamar should be back.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta Falcons1Game Outcome PicksFalcons 29–200100−167
“Let's move on to Bengals Ravens... the three and two Bengals…”2Availability Calls————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting0100

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 availability call and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta Falcons

    What happenedFalcons 29–2049ers at Falcons
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.67difficulty−167skill

    Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5 · favorite pick, 49ers 58%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    ATL
    score:
    20-29
    skill:
    −167
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Availability CallsLamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens

    “Let's move on to Bengals Ravens... the three and two Bengals coming off a bye against Baltimore coming off a loss. Lamar should be back.”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.