Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 31, 2025
Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.
Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original
What Nick Wright said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe bet is Bengals under nine and a half.
- Where it was said
- What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)
- The episode
- What's Wright - Best Of - Shedeur Sanders BLEW IT, NFL Playoff Predictions, Bengals will MISS PLAYOFFS & FIRE COACH
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidAug 31, 2025
- GradedAug 5–Oct 9, 2026
- 1Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins“So Ravens demonse over under eleven and a half juice slightly to the over... So because of that, I'm an over.”
- 2Cleveland Browns to finish with 5 wins“And the numbers four and a half, I've got to go over four and a half, and so I will go over four and a half”
- 3Dillon Gabriel to be 2nd on the depth chart“If in Week one Flacco goes out, you would have to be more comfortable putting Gabriel in.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins1 | Season Win Totals | 8 | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| Cleveland Browns to finish with 5 wins2 | Season Win Totals | 5 | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Dillon Gabriel to be 2nd on the depth chart3 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 2 | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| 3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 66.7 | 100 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive3 checkable claims — 2 season win totals and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
winsTheir call against what actually happened.
1Season Win TotalsBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins
What happened8called over 11.50Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- naive:
- 10.25
- skill:
- −200
- what happened:
- 8
- scored:
- hit or miss on the line
- season:
- 2025
- window:
- 12 to 17
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- under
- they said:
- over 11.5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Season Win TotalsCleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns to finish with 5 wins
What happened5called over 4.5100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- CLE
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 5
- scored:
- hit or miss on the line
- season:
- 2025
- window:
- 5 to 17
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- over
- they said:
- over 4.5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
3Depth Chart CallsDillon GabrielCleveland Browns
Dillon Gabriel to be 2nd on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 2 · by passing yards100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CLE
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Dillon Gabriel
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
66.7naive 100
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Myles Garrett · Hit 100
Discussing Myles Garrett's trade request, Eisen said they expect Garrett to get their way and be moved out of Cleveland rather than stay, which is why staying would be shocking.Doug Joubert · Score Predictions · Cleveland Browns · Miss 26
Joubert picks the Browns to win 28-17, saying the Saints haven't improved over the first half of the season despite Cleveland starting Shedeur Sanders.Pat McAfee · Game Outcome Picks · Cleveland Browns · Miss 0
McAfee picked the Browns, with Shedeur Sanders starting, to beat the Saints in New Orleans.Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Mitchell Eisenstein · Game Outcome Picks · Cleveland Browns · Miss 0
Mitchell gave their Week 9 top-five power rankings, keeping Buffalo first and the 49ers second while elevating the Bears, Jaguars and Lions, and picked a slate of Week 9 games including a Packers win in New England, a Panthers upset of Denver, and blowouts for Detroit, Kansas City and Houston. They also tabbed Jonah Coleman as a late-season Offensive Rookie of the Year pick.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Damonza Byrd · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; they also like the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Dallas Cowboys · Miss 0
Rosenthal expects a high-scoring Eagles-Cowboys kickoff game, guesses a scoreline around 41-27, still believes Dallas can clear its win total and reach the playoffs, likes the Giants to beat expectations with Jackson Dart taking over as starter early.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Detroit Lions · Miss 0
Rosenthal made a series of over/under win-total picks: Lions over 10.5, Colts under 7.5, Vikings over 8.5, Jets over 5.5, Cowboys over 7.5 (and over 8 in a side challenge), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5, Bears under 8.5. They also predicted the Cowboys win 10 games and make the playoffs, and the Jets go 7-10.Danny Parkins · Season Win Totals · Pittsburgh Steelers · Hit 100
Filling in for Colin Cowherd, Parkins gave over/under picks for all 32 NFL teams for the 2025 season, plus specific win-total projections for several clubs.