Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 29, 2025

In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.

Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original

12 of 26calls landed12 hits · 2 close calls · 12 misses · 4 waiting

50.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 26 calls

39.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

26 of 30Settled4 still waiting

#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

The Bucks are going to win ten games. Ten games will get them in the playoffs, at least ten games, I should say.

Nick Wright, the lead quote

Where it was said: What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)
The episode: What’s Wright - Nick Wright’s NFL Playoff PREDICTIONS, NFC win totals + Rashee Rice suspension
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidAug 28, 2025
GradedAug 5–Oct 9, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses	Waiting
Season Win Totals	7	2	4	0
Depth Chart Calls	1	0	0	0
Division Winners	0	0	3	0
Game Outcome Picks	3	0	0	0
Playoff Picks	1	0	5	0
Position Group Rankings	0	0	0	1
Trade and Signing Calls	0	0	0	1
Surprise Team Calls	0	0	0	2
All	12	2	12	4

How each call scored

30 checkable claims — 13 season win totals, 6 playoff picks, 3 division winners, 3 game outcome picks, 2 surprise team calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 position group ranking and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 17 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

26 of 30 have settled so far, averaging 50.8 out of 100, against 39.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

wins

over 7.5They said

13What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Season Win Totals7 hits · 2 close calls · 4 missesShow ▸

Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 8 wins
“For the overs, We've got Jags at seven and a half at minus one twenty five”
Jacksonville Jaguars
13called over 7.5
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
team:
JAX
naive:
6.25
skill:
200
what happened:
13
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
8 to 17
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
under
they said:
over 7.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
“Kansas City over eleven and a half at plus one hundred”
Kansas City Chiefs
6called over 11.5
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
naive:
11.75
skill:
0
what happened:
6
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
12 to 17
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
over 11.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Chicago Bears to finish with 9 wins
“So I will take and I will bet the Bears over eight and a half”
Chicago Bears
11called over 8.5
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
naive:
6.75
skill:
200
what happened:
11
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
9 to 17
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
under
they said:
over 8.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to finish with 10 wins
“I am going over with the Rams for nine and a half”
Los Angeles Rams
12called over 9.5
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
naive:
9.25
skill:
200
what happened:
12
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
10 to 17
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
under
they said:
over 9.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins
“Lions over under is at ten and a half... I have to go with the plus money side, So I will say over”
Detroit Lions
9called over 10.5
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
naive:
11.75
skill:
0
what happened:
9
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
11 to 17
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
over 10.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins
“one of my bets will be Falcons over seven and a half at minus one forty”
Atlanta Falcons
8called over 7.5
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
ATL
naive:
8.25
skill:
0
what happened:
8
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
8 to 17
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
over 7.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 7 wins
“Vegas six and a half at minus one hundred and forty five”
Las Vegas Raiders
3called 7
20Miss
20 − 35 naive = −15 × 2 difficulty = −30 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
naive:
6.25
skill:
−30
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
35
they said:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins
“the Bucks are going to win ten games. Ten games will get them in the playoffs, at least ten games”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8called 10
60Close
60 − 75 naive = −15 × 2 difficulty = −30 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
naive:
9.25
skill:
−30
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
75
they said:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Washington Commanders to finish with 11 wins
“So I like the Commanders over nine and a half... I had the Commanders and the Eagles both finishing eleven and six”
Washington Commanders
5called 11
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
naive:
10.25
skill:
0
what happened:
5
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
they said:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
New Orleans Saints to finish with 5 wins
“I am going to go under on the Panthers and over on the Saints”
New Orleans Saints
6called 5
80Hit
80 − 85 naive = −5 × 2 difficulty = −10 skill
How this was scored
team:
NO
naive:
6.75
skill:
−10
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
85
they said:
5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
New York Giants to finish with 6 wins
“I will go over with the New York Giants. You just have to get to six wins.”
New York Giants
4called 6
60Close
60 − 65 naive = −5 × 2 difficulty = −10 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
naive:
5.75
skill:
−10
what happened:
4
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
65
they said:
6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Green Bay Packers to finish with 9 wins
“I just think they're gonna win nine games”
Green Bay Packers
9called 9
100Hit
100 − 85 naive = 15 × 2 difficulty = +30 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
naive:
9.75
skill:
30
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
85
they said:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins
“This also is not a bet demands because I think eleven winds is where it lands... I had the Commanders and the Eagles both finishing eleven and six”
Philadelphia Eagles
11called 11
100Hit
100 − 95 naive = 5 × 2 difficulty = +10 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
naive:
11.25
skill:
10
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
95
they said:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Depth Chart Calls1 hitShow ▸

Tyler Booker to be 1st on the depth chart
“Listen, I like Tyler Booker, their rookie first round pick, still a rookie player, you know, starter from day one.”
Tyler Booker Dallas Cowboys
No. 1called No. 1 · by offensive snaps
100Hit
100 − 91.67 naive = 8.33 × 2 difficulty = +16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
DAL
skill:
16.67
player:
Tyler Booker
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
G
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Division Winners3 missesShow ▸

Washington Commanders to win the division
“I just think the Commanders are gonna win the division”
Washington Commanders
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
−200
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
WAS
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“Yeah, I mean they're gonna win the division”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“I do think they're gonna win the division. I do think they're the best team in that division.”
Los Angeles Rams
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?

Game Outcome Picks3 hitsShow ▸

Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Atlanta
“I think they're going to start three and zero at Atlanta at the Texans home for the Jets”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
won:
TB
score:
23-20
skill:
200
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
ATL
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Jets
“I think they're going to start three and zero at Atlanta at the Texans home for the Jets”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
won:
TB
score:
27-29
skill:
0
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Texans
“I think they're going to start three and zero at Atlanta at the Texans home for the Jets and obviously Texans are a good team. I think Tampa's better”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
won:
TB
score:
20-19
skill:
200
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Playoff Picks1 hit · 5 missesShow ▸

Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
“You got the Bucks at minus one seventy to make the playoffs”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Missed the playoffs
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“We've got the Jags at plus one eighty to make the playoffs... I'm having them make the playoffs at plus one eighty”
Jacksonville Jaguars
Made the playoffs
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
team:
JAX
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
New York Giants to make the playoffs
“Giants at plus five hundred to make the playoffs”
New York Giants
Missed the playoffs
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
skill:
−200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
“I do think they go back to the playoffs.”
Washington Commanders
Missed the playoffs
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs
“You got the Raiders to make the playoffs at plus three forty”
Las Vegas Raiders
Missed the playoffs
0Miss
0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
skill:
−200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“the Chiefs to make the playoffs at minus three eighty”
Kansas City Chiefs
Missed the playoffs
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Position Group Rankings1 waitingShow ▸

“I think they might have the best front four in football.”
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Trade and Signing Calls1 waitingShow ▸

Kyler Murray to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
“it feels like Kyler Murray starting quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers Week one of next year. Feel feels about like the plan”
Kyler Murray Pittsburgh Steelers
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Surprise Team Calls2 waitingShow ▸

Atlanta Falcons to beat expectations
“I actually think this team is a sneaky playoff contender because of the schedule”
Atlanta Falcons
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations
“there has to be the shock playoff team. I have cast my lot with it being the Raiders.”
Las Vegas Raiders
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Chicago Bears, Los Angeles Rams, Detroit Lions, Atlanta Falcons, Tyler Booker, Dallas Cowboys, Washington Commanders, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Las Vegas Raiders, New York Giants, New Orleans Saints, Green Bay Packers, Philadelphia Eagles, Kyler Murray, Pittsburgh Steelers

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.
Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.
John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.